Polls close at 10pm. Team Burnham is quietly confident, but nobody is popping the champagne just yet. The result is expected at around 4am. Some in Reform think it could take even longer. A long night ahead…
| POLLS | LABOUR | REFORM | RESTORE | LEAD |
| Convergent Times/Sun Times · 2–12 June | 49 | 37 | 5 | +12 |
| Opinium Forward Democracy · 3–11 June | 46 | 41 | 7 | +5 |
| More in Common/UCL 28 May–12 June | 45 | 40 | 8 | +5 |
| Survation Times/Sun Times · 26 May–1 June | 49 | 39 | 8 | +10 |
| Survation Times/Sun Times · 18–22 May | 43 | 40 | 7 | +3 |
| Average | 46 | 39 | 7 | +7 |
| BOOKIES | LABOUR | REFORM | RESTORE | LAB % |
| bet365 polls open, 18 Jun | 1/10 | 11/2 | 16/1 | 91% |
| Betfred 17 Jun | 1/6 | 5/1 | 20/1 | 86% |
| William Hill late campaign | 1/4 | 3/1 | 20/1 | 80% |
| Betfair Exchange 16 Jun | 1/4 | 9/2 | 22/1 | 79% |
The bookies think it’s a done deal…
Krishnan Guru-Murthy asked John Healey: “Just finally, I mean Andy Burnham has been very clear he wants Britain back in the European Union in his lifetime. Do you?”
The Chancellor replied: “I’m older than Andy Burnham. I don’t expect to see that.”