At the time of going to pixel, Andy Burnham is the odds-on favourite to win the Makerfield by-election at a best price of 4/7, or an implied 64% probability. Reform have drifted to 2/1, although they haven’t yet unveiled their candidate. Restore Britain are at 11/1 and the Conservatives are a 940/1 afterthought in a seat they have never won…
| Labour (Burnham) | 4/7 |
64% |
| Reform | 2/1 |
33% |
| Restore Britain | 11/1 |
8% |
| Green | 200/1 |
<1% |
| Lib Dem | 500/1 |
<1% |
| Conservatives | 940/1 |
<1% |
There is still a month to go, and the prices are unlikely to be stable…
Paula Barker, Liverpool Wavertree MP backing Andy Burnham, told Times Radio there wouldn’t be trouble from the markets under Burnham:
“The markets will have to fall in line.”