The betting markets have shifted overnight, predicting an increase in Starmer’s short-term chances of survival. But bookies say he is now more likely to be replaced before the next General Election…
More in Common’s director Luke Tryl observes that the Tories and Reform are outperforming their polling average: “comparing the swing in local election results since 22 & swing implied by the polling average, it looks like the Tories are overperforming by about 6 points, Reform by 3, Labour on track, Greens underperforming and Lib Dems underperforming.” The Greens and LibDems underperforming by two points and five points respectively…
Labour’s collapse in the North West is also bad news for Andy Burnham’s return planners. Say it together now: No safe seats…
Paula Barker, Liverpool Wavertree MP backing Andy Burnham, told Times Radio there wouldn’t be trouble from the markets under Burnham:
“The markets will have to fall in line.”