The betting markets have shifted overnight, predicting an increase in Starmer’s short-term chances of survival. But bookies say he is now more likely to be replaced before the next General Election…
More in Common’s director Luke Tryl observes that the Tories and Reform are outperforming their polling average: “comparing the swing in local election results since 22 & swing implied by the polling average, it looks like the Tories are overperforming by about 6 points, Reform by 3, Labour on track, Greens underperforming and Lib Dems underperforming.” The Greens and LibDems underperforming by two points and five points respectively…
Labour’s collapse in the North West is also bad news for Andy Burnham’s return planners. Say it together now: No safe seats…
Former Labour leader Neil Kinnock was asked if Burnham will take Britain back into the EU:
“Yes, sure – his commitment is authentic. He really does understand from the grassroots up why restoring what I think of as normality in our continent is vital for every party economically, politically, culturally, in terms of security, and he’s able to articulate it in language that people can understand. So yeah, he is definitely”.