Reform currently has odds of 1/3 with nearly every major bookmaker (Bet365, Unibet, William Hill) to win the Caerphilly by-election today. Plaid Cymru is second favourite at around 9/4 or 2/1, while Labour’s odds are much longer, now floating at around 25/1. It’s always been a two-horse race, although Reform’s odds have been shortening. Polls close at 10pm, with a result expected in the early hours of tomorrow morning. Always follow the money…
Shadow national security minister Alicia Kearns told Times Radio she would have put a precondition on a China trip if she were PM:
“I would have put a precondition that I was not going to go if I was prime minister, unless Jimmy Lai was coming home with me. I would also put a precondition in the six months leading up to the visit that I wanted a reduction in hostile acts against our country. But that’s not what we saw. And actually, in contrast, what we saw was clearly the Chinese Communist Party did put a precondition, which was that the new embassy in London had to be signed off. So why is it okay for China to set preconditions and to make very clear red lines about what they require for a visit, but we go without having put any ourselves?”