New polling from YouGov today has Badenoch well in the lead among Tory members. She scores 24 points compared to Tom Tugendhat’s 16 in second place. Leadership teams are firing polls around like nobody’s business…

As co-conspirators can see, so far polling of members has varied wildly in its rankings and in granular results. It’s broadly the same situation with polling of GB voters. Often results will correspond with who has forked out the cash…

More established pollsters will come out with results over the proceeding seven weeks – if they are worth their salt results will begin coalescing before too long. Seeing as Guido’s predictions beat all of their swanky MRPs in the election, you shouldn’t hold your breath…