No surprise that the Tories are not hanging about calling the by-elections. Uxbridge and South Ruislip (Majority 7,210) looks in danger.  Selby and Ainsty (Majority 20,137) should be defensible.

Guido’s guess is that without Boris the Tories lose Uxbridge and manage to hold on to Selby & Ainsty. Nadine is the Mid-Beds blocker for the time being…