The BBC’s Projected National Share of the vote – a model which predicts how all of Britain would vote based on today’s results – gives Labour a 9-point lead:

• Conservative – 26%
• Labour – 35%
• Liberal Democrats – 20%
• Others – 19%

John Curtice says this would be “perhaps just enough” to hand Starmer the keys to Number 10, assuming it translated to a 4.5% swing in Westminster…