The government is on course for a defeat tonight as Remainers and Bercow get into gear to rip up parliamentary precedent and take control of the Order Paper. Stick with Guido this evening for updates as we get them. 

According to one count, 15 Tory MPs have pledged to vote against the Government – a figure that includes the newest member of the Lib Dems, Phillip Lee.

The number of Tories set to rebel does, however, remain lower than previous Government defeats as No. 10’s deselection threat has caused a handful of u-turns from rational Remainers.

Despite the build-up to tonight’s vote, some Tory MPs believe a government loss tonight will not automatically translate to a government defeat tomorrow – with the rebels’ legislation failing at its 2nd Reading. All will become much clearer, however, at 7 pm…