When the Peston show’s producer tweeted the above graphic out Guido responded that he “should call if you need some phone numbers for politicians who want to leave the EU”. What are the chances of 6 guests all being remainers on a politically neutral show?
If guests were selected at random from the population – which they clearly are not – the probability that they would all be remain campaigners would be
The likelihood of an all-remain guest list being selected by chance is that tiny.
Peston tweeted first thing this morning
“It is just conceivable that a false premise underlies this probability calculation. What do you think?”
Sure, it is conceivable. What is inconceivable is that he would have a show with six Brexiters as his only guests.
He then prays in aid Rob Burley, until recently Marr’s producer
Burley also tweeted that the probability measure was silly and “It’s not June 2016.” Leavers feel we haven’t left the EU and the politico-media establishment are determined to reverse the 2016 vote. Is that a silly idea?
Incidentally the public think, by 3 to 1, the BBC is biased against Brexit and by 2 to 1 that ITV is biased against Brexit. How silly of them…