Ashcroft’s Lost Majority of 78

M’Lord Ashcroft has another book out today via his own publishing firm Biteback. “The Lost Majority” promises to draw “on his unique research to explain why the thumping victory the Tories expected never happened”. That would be his own polling which had as its central prediction a 78 seat Tory majority:

Guido has not yet read the book, which apparently has the theme that it is time to “wake up and smell the coffee again”. Guido is not crowing, he too expected a Tory majority, based on a gut feeling which may have been influenced by, err, pollsters. Fortunately Guido’s betting was on individual constituency results not the overall majority. That would have been expensive. Not as expensive as conducting rolling mega-polls of 40,000 people that turned out to be as much bollocks as most of the other polls…




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Quote of the Day

Stephen Bush writing in the New Statesman‘s morning briefing…

“The terrifying truth is that the Opposition is too divided – within the parliamentary party, within the trades unions, within the Shadow Cabinet and even within the leader’s office – to be anything other than a veto player as far as Brexit goes, and the party’s whole gambit is really about trying to make that weakness look like a strength. Keir Starmer saying that Labour is “increasingly likely” to vote down the deal is simply a reflection of the fact that the one thing the Labour party will be able to agree on as far as Brexit goes is that Theresa May’s deal is no good.”

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