Take it with a bucket of salt but Leave.EU – the pro-UKIP Arron Banks group – has carried out a poll putting Nuttall ahead in Stoke. They say they have “a sample bigger than 4,000” with the following results:

UKIP: 39%

Labour: 33%

Tory: 11%

LibDem: 10%

Constituency polling is notoriously difficult…