Tory MPs Begin Voting, Gove’s Ratings Crushed

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A long-term Gove loyalist told Guido yesterday that he hoped the Chilcot drama tomorrow will provide cover for his preferred candidate’s likely humiliation on Thursday. The miscalculation of the Boricide has been devastating for Gove’s campaign. The polite, good-humoured, fun Gove – popular across the party – is now seen as a ruthless Machiavellian bastard. Gove’s ratings with Tory supporters have plummeted according to ConservativeHome, YouGov has also seen his personal net approval rating with Tory members plummet from +41 to -20 in a week. Unprecedented.

Last night the Johnsons split, with Boris backing Leadsom and Jo backing May after previously backing his brother. Not quite up to the psycho-drama of the Milibands…




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Quote of the Day

The FT’s Wolfgang Munchau on the “fake maths” of economic forecasts:

“The truth is that our ability to forecast the future beyond the current quarter is limited… The curse of our time is fake maths. Think of it as fake news for numerically literate intellectuals: it is the abuse of statistics and economic models to peddle one’s own political prejudice… The fakeness of the maths lies in an exaggerated inference. Economic models have their uses, as do opinion polls. They provide information to policymakers and markets. But nobody can see through the fog of the future.”

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