Gove Chief Negotiator, Boris-Leadsom Summit, Priti Rumours

John Whittingdale and Liz Truss have joined Dom Raab and George Eustice backing Boris. Johnson is well ahead in Guido’s spreadsheet of public MP declarations and the Sun predicts he has 100 names coming. Michael Gove met with some 20 MPs last night to discuss how to convince wavering Leavers to endorse BoJo. Stressing Gove’s expected role as the chief EU negotiator should help reassure apprehensive Outers that Brexit will be delivered…

Andrea Leadsom has the tentative support of up to 60 Leave MPs if she runs. A group of them met in her office yesterday. At 6 pm Boris turned up and the MPs left, Johnson and Leadsom then had a ten minute one-on-one summit to try to agree terms of her joining the ticket. No deal was reached, Andrea is playing hardball and has also had talks with Theresa May’s team…

Theresa May has only eight MPs publicly backing her on Guido’s spreadsheet. The private number is much higher – several Leave MPs have told Guido they are considering endorsing her and she expects to clean up a lot of the payroll vote. Smoothie George Hollingberry has been hitting the phones on her behalf with some success. Her team have been working hard and should get in touch ASAP with more names. 

‘Crabbid’ had a flurry of backers come out for their joint ticket yesterday, more are promised following a drinks party last night. Liam Fox is expected to announce his bid tomorrow with the support of 20 plus MPs, unless someone manages to square him off quickly with a Cabinet post offer. There were widespread rumours yesterday that Priti Patel was considering u-turning and mounting a bid, though she is still expected to take a well deserved top job with Boris. Johnson is the early leader…




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Quote of the Day

The FT’s Wolfgang Munchau on the “fake maths” of economic forecasts:

“The truth is that our ability to forecast the future beyond the current quarter is limited… The curse of our time is fake maths. Think of it as fake news for numerically literate intellectuals: it is the abuse of statistics and economic models to peddle one’s own political prejudice… The fakeness of the maths lies in an exaggerated inference. Economic models have their uses, as do opinion polls. They provide information to policymakers and markets. But nobody can see through the fog of the future.”

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