Campaign Report: 3 Days to Go

Leave message: EU economies are failing – just look at unemployment. Britain’s economy is safer out.

Remain message: Companies like Ford are worried about Leave.

Cut through: Bosses back Remain.

Leave social media count: 516,128 likes, 63,797 followers.

Remain social media count: 501,965 likes, 43,447 followers.

Odds: Remain 1/3, Leave 14/5 and 3/1

poll of polls 20062016

Latest poll: Remain 45% (+3), Leave 42% (-3) (Survation, phone). Poll of Polls is now Remain 50% (+2), Leave 50% (-2).




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Quote of the Day

The FT’s Wolfgang Munchau on the “fake maths” of economic forecasts:

“The truth is that our ability to forecast the future beyond the current quarter is limited… The curse of our time is fake maths. Think of it as fake news for numerically literate intellectuals: it is the abuse of statistics and economic models to peddle one’s own political prejudice… The fakeness of the maths lies in an exaggerated inference. Economic models have their uses, as do opinion polls. They provide information to policymakers and markets. But nobody can see through the fog of the future.”

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