Unaired YouGov Poll: Remain 50.6% Leave 49.4%

Curiously, Newsnight pulled the plug on a new YouGov poll showing just a percentage point difference between the Leavers and the Remainers last night. 5,000 people were surveyed online for the What UK Thinks website, one of the largest recent sample sizes on the referendum. The numbers were lined up for Newsnight, yet they were pulled at 10:28 pm. Matthew Goodwin, one of the academics who carried out the research, ain’t impressed, telling Guido:

“I am disappointed that despite promises of coverage a large survey, funded by a research council and relevant to the national debate, was shunted at the last minute with no warning.”

Newsnight say it was a “timing” issue…

The survey also asked how people would vote when prompted with different scenarios about whether the party leaders recommended to Remain or Leave. Farage looks pretty priced in, though the data suggests if Corbyn stuck to his Bennite Eurosceptic principles and backed a Leave vote that could swing it. Either way, it’s all to play for…

UPDATE: Newsnight editor Ian Katz gets in touch to emphasise that the poll was not commissioned by Newsnight.




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Quote of the Day

A senior Leaver tells Guido:

“Remainers have been outgunned. They were telling us EEA was nailed on and Spreadsheet Phil was going to get a 5 year transition.”

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