Dave is in the West Midlands for his big speech today, 46 years since the last time a top Tory chose that setting to crack down on immigration. Labour yesterday proposed a two year ban on new migrants claiming benefits, so the PM is promising four. It’ll be the closest Cameron has come to openly threatening Brexit, today he will “rule nothing out”. Expect UKIP to respond with pre-prepared attack lines on Osborne: the Times reports

“Behind the scenes George Osborne has been fighting to protect the free movement policy and he’s won. Osborne has secured what his Treasury officials wanted – openness to entrepreneurial, hardworking and jobless young Europeans who come to Britain”

Europe minister David Lidington has invited EU ambassadors to watch the speech live via video link in the Foreign Office. Doesn’t sound like Dave is expecting to get up their noses too much…