May Refuses to Be Drawn on Tory Newark Chances

Guido has paid a visit to Newark today to see how the Tory-UKIP bunfight is progressing. The Tory machine is out in force, blue rosetted door knockers are everywhere while the Ukippers dwindle around the town centre as only they do best. Theresa May was expertly dull in her Q&A with the travelling press pack, which is perhaps fitting giving how dull the posh boy Tory candidate Robert Jenrick is. May refused to be drawn when Guido asked her about the consequences of defeat:

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They may be coy publicly, but in private the Tories are confident their campaign juggernaut cannot be stopped and their vote will hold up. Though the wandering pack of ginger Scottish Ukippers are taking the market square by force.

Freeeeeeedooommm!




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Quote of the Day

The FT’s Wolfgang Munchau on the “fake maths” of economic forecasts:

“The truth is that our ability to forecast the future beyond the current quarter is limited… The curse of our time is fake maths. Think of it as fake news for numerically literate intellectuals: it is the abuse of statistics and economic models to peddle one’s own political prejudice… The fakeness of the maths lies in an exaggerated inference. Economic models have their uses, as do opinion polls. They provide information to policymakers and markets. But nobody can see through the fog of the future.”

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