Mercer Lobbying Scandal: By-Election Maths

Here are the Newark stats:

  1. Conservative: 27590 (53.9%)
  2. Labour: 11438 (22.3%)
  3. Lib Dem: 10246 (20%)
  4. UKIP: 1954 (3.8%)

A 16,152 uphill struggle for UKIP based on 2010, but here are the local election results from the beginning of the month:

UKIP were making major gains in the area before this all kicked off.

Dave shouldn’t laugh too hard…

Local stats via Shneur Odze.

UPDATE:

We’ll see…




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Quote of the Day

Stephen Bush writing in the New Statesman‘s morning briefing…

“The terrifying truth is that the Opposition is too divided – within the parliamentary party, within the trades unions, within the Shadow Cabinet and even within the leader’s office – to be anything other than a veto player as far as Brexit goes, and the party’s whole gambit is really about trying to make that weakness look like a strength. Keir Starmer saying that Labour is “increasingly likely” to vote down the deal is simply a reflection of the fact that the one thing the Labour party will be able to agree on as far as Brexit goes is that Theresa May’s deal is no good.”

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