Mercer Lobbying Scandal: By-Election Maths

Here are the Newark stats:

  1. Conservative: 27590 (53.9%)
  2. Labour: 11438 (22.3%)
  3. Lib Dem: 10246 (20%)
  4. UKIP: 1954 (3.8%)

A 16,152 uphill struggle for UKIP based on 2010, but here are the local election results from the beginning of the month:

UKIP were making major gains in the area before this all kicked off.

Dave shouldn’t laugh too hard…

Local stats via Shneur Odze.

UPDATE:

We’ll see…


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Peter Mandelson tells Emma Barnett…

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