Last week Guido revealed how Corby’s latest resident Tom Watson was instructing Labour spinners to brief that the party expects to lose the upcoming by-election. At the time the Lobby could see straight through Tommo’s tricks:

@GuidoFawkes They got pretty short shrift with that line in this office. 10% win or it's a loss

— Tim Shipman (@ShippersUnbound) August 9, 2012

Now the latest polling undertaken by Lord Ashcroft has confirmed that Watson was spouting rubbish. Labour have a huge 15 point lead in the up-for-grabs Northamptonshire seat, with a 9% swing from Blue to Red. UK Polling Report conclude: “Labour shouldn’t have any particular problem taking the seat“. It’s an open goal that they simply cannot miss…