Labour Trying to Have it Both Ways on Polling

More bad news for Boris today as a ComRes poll echoes last week’s YouGov offering that had Ken in the lead. The jubilation in Labour circles is on the up, but they obviously didn’t get the same lines Chuka was sent for his appearance on the Sunday Politics yesterday: “Polls go up and down… you’re obsessed with polls Andrew”. Heads in the sand…

Leaving aside Brillo’s cutting riposte “I’m sorry Mr Umunna these just go down”, Labour are clearly trying to have it both ways. Do polls matter or not? Why is a poll showing Ken in the lead any more valid that one showing Ed tanking? Any suggestion that polls aren’t devoured by people like Chuka is nonsense… 




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Quote of the Day

The FT’s Wolfgang Munchau on the “fake maths” of economic forecasts:

“The truth is that our ability to forecast the future beyond the current quarter is limited… The curse of our time is fake maths. Think of it as fake news for numerically literate intellectuals: it is the abuse of statistics and economic models to peddle one’s own political prejudice… The fakeness of the maths lies in an exaggerated inference. Economic models have their uses, as do opinion polls. They provide information to policymakers and markets. But nobody can see through the fog of the future.”

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