NO2ID : Latest Pictures

This is just in via a securely encrypted (to government standard) data transmission source. Somebody handed Guido a USB memory dongle in a pub. NO2ID are processing Jacqui Smith’s biometric data in a secure data acquisition unit at an undisclosed location.

The process is different to that required for merely identifying fingerprints – NO2ID intend to be able to reproduce Jacqui’s fingerprints. They tell Guido they are pretty confident as to the quality of the result.

Friday Caption Competition (Serious Candidate Edition)

Why South Africans Should Pay their TV Licences

Nhlanhla Nene, Chairman ANC, SA.

Labour Hold Glenrothes by Six Thousand

What is happening here – has Gordon’s Jonah curse been lifted?

  • He wished Lewis Hamilton well – and he still became World F1 champion.
  • Despite having met and been backed by Gordon, Barack won the Presidency.
  • Despite having visited the constituency, Labour didn’t lose.
The Tories beat the LibDems from third into fourth place, the LibDems had a disaster dropping ten percentage points. The SNP were very, very confident…

UPDATE : Should point out that it is fair to say that PoliticsHome’s PHI100 has now evened the score with the punters, although PoliticsHome did hedge themselves a bit with a press release splitting PHI 100 into politicians and pundits. Here’s what Rawnsley said yesterday

There’s a fascinating divide within the panel between the politicians and the media. The media panellists are political editors, leading commentators and executives. A solid majority of them are forecasting a win for the Nationalists. That puts them at odds with the politicians on the panel. They are MPs and peers, among them senior Ministers and Opposition frontbenchers, from all the main parties. A heavy majority of the politicians are predicting that Labour will hold the seat.

So the pundits still managed to get it wrong…



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Quote of the Day

The FT’s Wolfgang Munchau on the “fake maths” of economic forecasts:

“The truth is that our ability to forecast the future beyond the current quarter is limited… The curse of our time is fake maths. Think of it as fake news for numerically literate intellectuals: it is the abuse of statistics and economic models to peddle one’s own political prejudice… The fakeness of the maths lies in an exaggerated inference. Economic models have their uses, as do opinion polls. They provide information to policymakers and markets. But nobody can see through the fog of the future.”

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