Guido’s friend Dr Crippen put this very bluntly, Ming in all
probability will not last five years
. That is the cold calculated actuarial estimate. We may allow that he is likely to be able to pull a few strings to ensure that he gets the best treatment available if his cancer condition should come out of “remission”, but the sad fact is, well, he has “a 9/2 chance to be gone in two years or less; 4/6 to stay in charge for more than two but less than four years; 3/1 to rule the roost for more than four but less than six years and 8/1 to stay in charge for more than six years”
according to my man at William Hill
New LibDem frontbench team.
The bookies think that at 5/1 someone who is not even an MP at the moment is more likely than any female MP (at 8/1) to become the next leader – unless Clegg has a sex change of course. This is the LibDems we are talking about, so anything can happen.