Guido’s eyes were glued to the Betfair dealing screen yesterday during the count with an ear on Sky, who tend to be brave enough to call results before the Beeb. Adam Boulton was at the count and saying that the Huhney monsters were looking glum and Clegg was chirpy so it looked like it was going to be Campbell, than he said something like “the people who know about these things, the political website Guido Fawkes, has called it for Ming”.

It was a surreal moment, it made Guido hesitate and probably miss taking a few hundred extra quid off deluded Huhne backers as the market went crazy. The Huhne price collapsed and liquidity dried up. So Adam, as much as Guido appreciated the kudos, thousands of pounds of money for Huhne disappeared from the screen in the next minute. Money that could have been re-invested in Margaux.

Whilst on the subject, the City Tipster and Guido would like to thank our benefactor, the Huhne market manipulator, we think the way “the collar” was often placed points to it being someone with financial market experience. Whomever you are, our only regret is that we didn’t hit you harder and more often. As for YouGov getting it wrong, they didn’t, it was in our opinion how you factored in the commissioner bias, we thought that averaging the two polls from the two opposing camps cancelled out the push polling bias. Also the rise of Huhne galvanised the Mingers into getting their act together, by YouGov 2 they were no longer complacent. After that they really hit the phones and cracked the whip on MPs to bring the vote in from the constitutencies.