There are political geeks and there are psephological geeks, but there is only one blogging über politico-psephological geek. He has done the numbers and written the definitive article.

Somebody tell me what it means – will the man with the Fedora win?? Wells Polls, we need to know, I don’t understand…

Anthony Wells gave a mea culpa on his blog recently explaining that because he formerly / currently works/ed for CCO / YouGov / I forget he was no longer to be trusted / never should have been trusted / whatever.

Nevertheless, his calculated view is here. Could someone, preferably himself, explain it to Guido.