Starting Prices

Most Tories think Howard should have paused for breath before announcing his departure, but in reality he has just stated what we all know, he will keep the seat warm until after a party rule making conference. Nevertheless, he has fired the starting gun so:-

David Davis is clear 5/2 favourite with solid right-wing credentials and cross party support, he slotted Beverley Hughes at immigration and played the fight against Blunkett cleverly, despite Blunkett being very wiley. Malcolm Rifkind (7/1) has not got a hope of winning for the Tories, if by some chance he became leader it would be a fourth term for Labour, forget him. Guido cannot understand why he is being talked up. Doc Fox (8/1) has been over-promoted merely as a result of organising Howard’s leadership bid, that he is a serious prospect reflects the paucity of Tory talent (6/1). David Cameron (9/1) would be wise to keep his powder dry, but may be scared to miss his chance. Andrew Lansley is in the running too. The bookies have him down at 10/1. George Osborne is too young. Oliver Letwin is too wet for the right and not seen as a safe pair of hands by his colleagues. Kenneth Clarke would divide the party on Europe, if he could drop his Euro-enthusiasm he might have a chance, but the right won’t trust him and its not clear that he cares for the job. John Redwood is too unpopular nationally. Michael Ancram is a Marquis, forget him. William Hague at 14/1 seems attractively priced (if he wanted the job). Alan Duncan might throw his small but perfectly formed hat in the ring.

Expect newly elected Nick Herbert to help run the David Davis campaign – watch for www.ModernConservatives.com to be the online platform. Watch out for one damaging story that could destabilise Davis, everyone is digging into it, but nothing has been proven.

This is probably the battle for the future premiership. Expect the next few months to get a little messy. Hopefully.




Tip offs: 0709 284 0531
team@Order-order.com

Quote of the Day

Jeremy Corbyn on Big Ben Bong Ban

“… if we have to miss Big Ben in reality for a while so that work can be done, well, that’s something we have to go through. It’s not a national disaster or catastrophe.”

Sponsors

Guidogram: Sign up

Subscribe to the most succinct 7 days a week daily email read by thousands of Westminster insiders.
Fears For Chapman Fears For Chapman
Why Transition Must Be Short Why Transition Must Be Short
PICTURES: Seumas’ Temper Tantrum PICTURES: Seumas’ Temper Tantrum
Don’t Believe ‘Victory For Hammond’ Spin Don’t Believe ‘Victory For Hammond’ Spin
Friday Caption Contest: Commando Chappers Edition Friday Caption Contest: Commando Chappers Edition
Angry Adonis Wanted ‘Office for Students’ Job Angry Adonis Wanted ‘Office for Students’ Job
Listen: Rees-Mogg vs Chapman Listen: Rees-Mogg vs Chapman
City Envoy Slams “Bewildering” Brussels City Envoy Slams “Bewildering” Brussels
Labour Pledged to Sell-Off Public Land Labour Pledged to Sell-Off Public Land
Corbyn’s ‘Local GPs’ Visit Staged by Labour Spin Doctor Corbyn’s ‘Local GPs’ Visit Staged by Labour Spin Doctor
Joly-Gone: Maugham Deletes Centre Party Plan Joly-Gone: Maugham Deletes Centre Party Plan
Milne: North Korea ‘Rational’ to Have Nukes Milne: North Korea ‘Rational’ to Have Nukes
LibDem Chief Exec Out LibDem Chief Exec Out
Jones Ditches Momentum For Radio Show Jones Ditches Momentum For Radio Show
Chlorine Chicken? EU Mired in Food Safety Scandals Chlorine Chicken? EU Mired in Food Safety Scandals
Juncker’s Junkets: Commissioners’ €500,000 Expenses Juncker’s Junkets: Commissioners’ €500,000 Expenses
Owen Jones in for Nawaz on LBC Owen Jones in for Nawaz on LBC
Watch: Maduro’s Thugs Executing Opponents Watch: Maduro’s Thugs Executing Opponents
Inside Baroness Scotland’s Home – But No Pictures Allowed Inside Baroness Scotland’s Home – But No Pictures Allowed