Liam Fox Running For Leader Tomorrow

A source close to Liam Fox tells Guido he will announce his leadership bid tomorrow. This comes after speculation he was in talks with Theresa May, which is denied by both sides. Of course this could be some snakes and ladders in the hope of being offered a top Cabinet post. But the plan right now is that Fox for leader will launch tomorrow… 

#ToryLeadership Campaign Update

TORY LEADERSHIP

tory-dials

This is the state of play as regards public declarations, 111 nominations automatically puts you into the final 2 (one-third of the parliamentary party plus 1). We expect May and Boris to release a lot more names soon, Leadsom seems to be prevaricating. See the lists of names at order-order.com/condec

MPs, constituents and campaign managers who want to correct the record should email team@order-order.com.

Gloves Off: Crabb Goes For Boris

Two direct attacks on Boris by Crabb as he launches his blue-collar Tory leadership bid:

“I was brought up to understand that nothing gets handed to you on a plate. On the rainy rugby fields of west Wales I learnt that it’s not a question of waiting for the ball to pop out of the back of the scrum…

The fact that Stephen Crabb is not a household name. Well there are different ways you can become a household name. I’m doing it the right way hopefully.”

Punchy…

Gove Chief Negotiator, Boris-Leadsom Summit, Priti Rumours

John Whittingdale and Liz Truss have joined Dom Raab and George Eustice backing Boris. Johnson is well ahead in Guido’s spreadsheet of public MP declarations and the Sun predicts he has 100 names coming. Michael Gove met with some 20 MPs last night to discuss how to convince wavering Leavers to endorse BoJo. Stressing Gove’s expected role as the chief EU negotiator should help reassure apprehensive Outers that Brexit will be delivered…

Andrea Leadsom has the tentative support of up to 60 Leave MPs if she runs. A group of them met in her office yesterday. At 6 pm Boris turned up and the MPs left, Johnson and Leadsom then had a ten minute one-on-one summit to try to agree terms of her joining the ticket. No deal was reached, Andrea is playing hardball and has also had talks with Theresa May’s team…

Theresa May has only eight MPs publicly backing her on Guido’s spreadsheet. The private number is much higher – several Leave MPs have told Guido they are considering endorsing her and she expects to clean up a lot of the payroll vote. Smoothie George Hollingberry has been hitting the phones on her behalf with some success. Her team have been working hard and should get in touch ASAP with more names. 

‘Crabbid’ had a flurry of backers come out for their joint ticket yesterday, more are promised following a drinks party last night. Liam Fox is expected to announce his bid tomorrow with the support of 20 plus MPs, unless someone manages to square him off quickly with a Cabinet post offer. There were widespread rumours yesterday that Priti Patel was considering u-turning and mounting a bid, though she is still expected to take a well deserved top job with Boris. Johnson is the early leader…

Boris and May Neck and Neck

poll

This is the much awaited Conservative Home poll of party members – Boris and T-May are neck and neck. May’s allies are confident she can win with the members. But Boris has the personality and was the hero of Brexit…

Leadsom Waiting For Boris to Offer Her Chancellor

Boris’ Telegraph column in which he appeared to endorse free movement has left him with work to do to convince Leave MPs he will deliver on Brexit. Today his allies are insisting he would end free movement. But some unconvinced Leave MPs are encouraging Andrea Leadsom to stand as the ‘true Brexit candidate’. As of 5pm this afternoon Leadsom hasn’t decided if she’s running – she is waiting to see whether Boris will offer her Chancellor. There are advantages to this for both sides: it would assuage concerns among Leavers about whether a Boris government would deliver on Brexit. It is also probably more realistic for Andrea than winning the leadership herself. Will an overture be made or will Andrea confirm she is standing?

Which Tory Leadership Candidate Are You?

Tracking #ToryLeadership Campaign 2016

TORY LEADERSHIP

We are starting to compile the spreadsheet for who is backing whom in the Tory Leadership Campaign. The rules are that the parliamentary party selects two MPs to be put to the membership. Our spreadsheet will be populated as and when information comes in.

The shock in Downing Street when Guido revealed 100+ MPs were backing Brexit shows that public crowd-sourcing can be more effective than old fashioned whipping. It is therefore in the interests of the respective campaigns to let us know ASAP if they want to demonstrate momentum – they know that Tory MPs constitute the most sophisticated electorate on earth. Gaming their promises to would-be patrons is in their blue blood. The political version of snakes and ladders depends on how they roll the dice, it is a career-defining decision. This is Guido’s way of giving those who don’t have any say in the candidates for next PM a window into the semi-democratic process…

111 nominations automatically puts you into the final 2 (one-third of the parliamentary party plus 1). If a candidate starts pulling ahead towards that figure, they’ll get big early momentum. We begin with Boris with more declared MPs: www.order-order.com/condec

MPs, constituents and campaign managers who want to correct the record should email team@order-order.com.

MPs Complain to ’22 Over May Whipping Operation

Tory MPs have angrily complained to 1922 committee chairman Graham Brady after government whips spent yesterday calling up canvassing support for Theresa May. Mel Stride, Julian Smith and Simon Kirby are allegedly leading a whipping operation on behalf of Theresa May from the Whips’ Office.[…]

+ READ MORE +

Tory Leadership Timetable

Wednesday 29 June – Nominations open

Thursday 30 June – Nominations close at noon

Friday 2 September – Latest date new leader announced

Provisional timetable has to go to party board… […]

+ READ MORE +

Tory Leadership Runners and Riders

This is where the potential Tory leadership contenders stand this morning:

  • Boris Johnson – Will announce he’s running within days. Jesse Norman, Nadhim Zahawi and Ben Wallace are phoning round MPs canvassing for support. Faces a battle to get on the ballot from Cameron’s allies, Remain MPs and a number of Leavers too. 
[…]

+ READ MORE +

Boris and Gove Pay Tribute to Cameron

[…]

+ READ MORE +

Next Prime Minister Runners and Riders

Boris Johnson 4/5

Theresa May 3/1

Michael Gove 5/1

Andrea Leadsom 10/1

Stephen Crabb 16/1

Priti Patel 16/1

George Osborne 16/1

Sajid Javid 20/1

Dominic Raab 20/1

Philip Hammond 20/1

Liam Fox 25/1

Amber Rudd 25/1

Ruth Davidson 25/1

These are the initial next PM odds via Ladbrokes.[…]

+ READ MORE +

Cameron Resigns

An emotional Cameron announces he will stand down, new leader in place by October…[…]

+ READ MORE +

Referendum Day CCHQ Leak

cchq

Tory HQ has flooded:

From: Conservative Campaign Headquarters
To:
Subject: Access to Lower Ground Floor

There is no access to the lower ground floor at Matthew Parker Street due to flooding. Seating arrangements will be made on the Upper floor.

Down the road the Spectator’s offices have been submerged too.[…]

+ READ MORE +

3 Tory Chickens Yet to Declare

TORY

A few last minute MP referendum declarations coming in: Charlotte Leslie has backed Brexit and Jackie Doyle-Price has chosen Remain. Good luck in Ukippy Thurrock in 2020. By Guido’s count there are 140 Tory MPs backing Leave, far higher than anyone ever predicted…

With two days to go, there are still 3 Tory MPs who have yet to publicly make up their minds.[…]

+ READ MORE +



Tip offs: 0709 284 0531
team@Order-order.com

Quote of the Day

George Osborne paraphrases Boris, telling the FT:

“If the ball came loose at the back of the scrum, I wouldn’t fumble it”

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