Poll: Labour Won’t Deliver “Programme British People Want”

How many relaunches is that now? Ed Miliband’s big speech on the economy today is being tipped by sympathetic quarters of the press as showing Labour are serious about reducing the deficit, so at least there’s no chance he will forget to mention it this time. Yet Ed is also going to attack the Tories for planning to cut spending to “1930s levels”, insisting “That is not our programme, that will never be our programme, and I do not believe it is the programme the British people want”. Just one problem: a ComRes poll for ITV out last night shows that this is the “programme the British people want”. 33% support cutting spending to 1930s levels, 26% oppose. Another great relaunch success…

Official: No One Cares About #CameronMustGo

The less reality-based elements of the loony left are still banging on at the ‘biased’ media failing to cover a hashtag calling for the PM to step down. Today’s Populus poll offers a more likely reason: no one cares. Not one person in the real world thought it was a story this week:

The final proof it was never news…

GREEN SURGE: LibDems Slump to Fifth Place

Two polls in two consecutive days now have the Greens ahead of the LibDems, with YouGov now putting Clegg in fifth place. Natalie Bennett’s party meanwhile rise from 7% to 8% this morning. The Staggers ask why the LibDems aren’t panicking, though Labour should also be watching the Green Surge with concern. It’s their votes the Greens are coming for…

Public Think Liberal Elite Media Biased Against UKIP
54% Believe Politico-Media Class Trying to Stop UKIP

Media bias  you gov

Stitch-up2[1]Fascinating research from YouGov, confirms what Guido has always believed, you can’t fool the public all the time. The mainstream media’s campaign to demonise UKIP is recognised by the public to be a result of a biased media. UKIP have the Tory press and the left-wing papers / BBC against them, so it is hardly surprising that the public recognise the bias against that party most clearly. It is widely accepted by political strategists that the over-the-top press campaign against UKIP during the European elections in May was so transparently biased that it had no negative effect and probably counter-productively bolstered UKIP’s vote.

You can fool all the people some of the time, and some of the people all the time, but you cannot fool all the people all the time…

Osborne’s Poll Ratings Slide
As Conservative Lead on the Economy Grows

As Osborne delivers his Autumn Statement today, a YouGov poll for the Sun finds his personal ratings have dropped from -3 to -8 over the last nine months. Optimism that the economy will improve is down from 39% to 25%, while pessimism is up from 23% to 32%. The Chancellor’s credibility will hardly be helped this afternoon when he announces OBR numbers confirming he has missed his deficit forecasts and that there is a £50 billion black hole in public finances, when in the same speech he pledges:

  • £3 billion extra cash for the NHS
  • £15 billion for road improvement infrastructure spending
  • £400 million extra to the British Business Bank
  • £500 million of new lending guaranteed
  • No fresh cuts

Cynical Neo-Keynesianism nevertheless appears to be paying electoral dividends for the Conservatives, proving once again that voters prefer jam today to jam tomorrow. This generation of voters prefers to put the burden for its profligacy on the next generation…

osborne-poll

The Times leader puts it plainly: “What is clear is that he has decided to risk what progress has been made towards repairing the nation’s finances on an electorally inspired spending spree that will have to be funded… at least partly with debt.” Douglas Carswell has a point when he says Osborne will today deliver Gordon Brown’s 18th Autumn Statement

Poll: Public Backs Brexit if Cam Plan Fails

A poll for the Standard tonight finds Londoners currently want to stay in the EU by 45% to 37%, but the numbers reverse almost completely if Cameron’s renegotiation attempts fail. No pressure…

UPDATE: And a ComRes/ITV poll finds if a referendum was held tomorrow the UK would leave:

Poll: UKIP-Tory Tactical Voting in Doncaster Would Unseat Ed
+Labour Just 3% Behind Clegg in Sheffield
+Farage Trails Tories By 5% in South Thanet

“How many Tories in Doncaster will be tempted to lend UKIP their vote, just this once?” ponders Lord A.

Vote Tory, get Labour up in Donny…

UPDATE I: Clegg is not safe in Sheffield Hallam, while Farage is struggling in South Thanet:

UPDATE II: Miliband’s constituents trust Cameron and Osborne more with the economy than their own MP and Ed Balls:

UPDATE III: Unfortunately this turns out to be bollocks, see: Lord Ashcroft: I Screwed Up That Doncaster Poll, Sorry

Labour Marginals Lead 8%

marginals comres

Labour appear to be holding on to their lead in 40 key marginals…

UPDATE: Full tables.

Which Politician Would You Snog Under the Mistletoe?

Guido is donning his brown cords for the Political Studies Association awards dinner this evening. The PSA have done some very early festive polling to find out who the public would most like to stand under the mistletoe with. Clegg […]

+ READ MORE +

Working Klass Hero: The People Back Myleene Over Ed

You know it’s bad when the Staggers have to try to spin Ed’s going over by Myleene Klass on last night’s Agenda. Apparently “this row could work in Miliband’s favour.” Hmm, not if the voting public are anything to go […]

+ READ MORE +

Survation/Daily Record: 2% of Scots Trust Ed Miliband

2%scotas

The Labour supporting Daily Record has published this poll showing 2% of Scots trust Ed Miliband completely. The paper says he is “sending party towards General Election catastrophe”.

Far more Scots believe in the Loch Ness monster than Ed Miliband…[…]

+ READ MORE +

How UKIP Became More Attractive to Labour Voters

Writing in the Guardian, YouGov supremo Peter Kellner explains how UKIP’s support has changed in recent months. As Guido’s graphic shows, in January last year the party’s backers were overwhelmingly former Tory voters. Since then, the proportion of UKIP […]

+ READ MORE +



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Ken Clarke tells the Ben Fellows trial:

“The idea that I would go strolling off in order to grope a man in an office is highly unlikely.”

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