Ashcroft: Labour Lead in Key Marginals

There are three more gains for Labour in the latest round of Lord Ashcroft’s polls in key Tory-held marginals. Mike Freer is facing a fight to defend his 12 point majority in Finchley and Golders Green:

And things are going to be tight for Edward Timpson in Crewe and Nantwich:

And Tory MP Iain Stewart is currently behind in Milton Keynes South:

There are also ties in Rossendale and Darwen and South Ribble. Better news though for Jacob Rees-Mogg and Rob Halfon, who are on course to hold on. No escaping that the Tories are level or behind in half of the marignals polled by Lord Ashcroft this morning…

Miliband Beats His Wife

As does Farage.

But Miriam Clegg really thrashes Nick in the Daily Mail poll of Leaders vs Spouses

ICM Gives Tories 6% Lead

icm+6

That’s tomorrow’s Guardian splash sorted…

Public Wake Up to Election

After five years of the public ignoring politics, it seems the election is finally getting cut through. Though Labour will disappointed at how little the public noticed their non-dom hit:

Don’t you know there’s a war on?

Ipsos MORI: Not a Single Labour PPC Thinks the Deficit is Important

From this morning’s Ipsos Mori election briefing:

Not a single potential Labour MP thinks the government spending, or the deficit is most important.

Kerching!

Via Paul Blanchard

The Day the Polls Didn’t Turn

This is a poll of polls average for today only:

Worth noting that the Labour figure is inflated by their very high rating with Panelbase.

As you can see below, TNS, Panelbase and Survation all put Labour ahead, but the latest polls out tonight from ComRes and YouGov have the Tories in first:

Which makes this Guardian splash, released before the ComRes and YouGov polls, look rather premature:

day-pols-didnt-turn

Too late to change the splash?

Ashcroft Tory Marginal Poll: One More Blue Seat Turns Red

According to Ashcroft’s latest projection, the following Tory MPs’ seats are on course to fall to Labour: Bob Blackman (Harrow East), Mike Weatherley (Hove), David Morris (Morecambe and Lunesdale), James Wharton (Stockton South).

Better news for Paul Maynard (Blackpool North and Cleveleys), Richard Graham (Gloucester), Chris Skidmore (Kingswood), Nicky Morgan (Loughborough) and Andrew Stephenson (Pendle), all set to hold on. Stuart Andrew in Pudsey is tied with Labour.

The only change from the last Ashcroft poll in these constituencies is Harrow East, whoch turns from blue to red. Ashcroft explains “The most notable movement across the board in this round of polling was a move towards the two main parties at the expense of UKIP”…

Jews Think David Star

jc-poll

According to a Survation survey for the Jewish Chronicle, British Jews will vote overwhelmingly for David Cameron. 69% of Jewish voters said they would support the Tories with only 22% saying they would vote Labour.  Almost none plan to vote for the party of David Ward and Baroness Tonge

YouGov: Greens Seen as Most Honest Party

unnamed

According tp YouGov the FibDems are seen as the least trustworthy party.

Most honest or most naive? It is all relative…[…]

+ READ MORE +

ComRes ITV Poll: People More likely to Vote Labour As A Result of Debate

comresf

The ComRes/ITV News Poll asked:  As a result of the debate are you more likely to vote for any of the following parties?[…]

+ READ MORE +

Poll Round Up: Miliband Fourth With YouGov

YOUGOVF

YouGov have Miliband in fourth.

UPDATE: ICM/Guardian gives it to Miliband by a whisker…

ICMF

UPDATE II: ComRes shows a dead heat

comreslef

Survation:

survation[…]

+ READ MORE +

Ashcroft Poll: Clegg Behind in Sheffield Hallam

The LibDems have dismissed talk of Nick Clegg losing Sheffield Hallam as nonsense, but Lord Ashcroft has him trailing Labour by two points in the seat today. The rest of the LibDem battleground polling makes dire reading too. Just a […]

+ READ MORE +



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Quote of the Day

Liam Fox shreds Cameron’s Calais scaremongering:

“Sad and disappointed to see our Prime Minister stoop to this level of scaremongering, especially as he knows the Calais agreement is nothing to do with the EU and agreed between the two govts”

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