According to the Electoral Commission the parties received donations totaling:
- Conservative Party – £8,345,687
- Labour Party – £7,163,988
- Liberal Democrats – £3,038,500
- UK Independence Party (UKIP) – £1,505,055
- Green Party – £248,520
Which means the Green surge is cashless, Labour having almost 30 times as their more left-wing rivals whereas the Tories have less than 5 times as much as UKIP. LibDem finances are doing considerably better than their polling would suggest…
Last year Guido reported on the concern of close Clegg family friends, who were worried the Deputy Prime Minister was ‘in a really bad place’. Despite Cleggy claiming he is far chirpier than his demeanor let on, today’s Survation poll of his Sheffield seat makes for grim reading:
LAB 33% (+17), LD 23% (-30), CON 22% (-2)
Even though this union funded poll is not weighted to take into account previous voting intentions, that ten point Labour lead will be eye-watering for Lib Dem strategists.
Nationally the Tories lead by a point:
And the LibDems a point behind the Greens…
Jim Murphy has pulled out of a public appearance today, after the McAshcroft poll pointed to a total rout for the party north of the border. Guido is told that Scottish Labour hope to ‘reschedule’ a stunt that would have their leader selling copies of the Big Issue for the day. Jim will have the opportunity to do so full time at this rate…
Meanwhile, here is the party’s mature response to utter Caledonian clusterf*ck. You would never have thought they’re a bunch of former NUS chumps:
Yeah, retreat to that comfort zone. That will solve everything.
In what appears to be a premature data dump of Lord Ashcroft’s much anticipated Scotland polling, Danny Alexander is predicted to lose his seat at the election:
As is Douglas Alexander:
Not Great for Alexanders…
Lord Ashcroft has asked a focus group which cartoon character they think the party leaders most resemble:
Ed Miliband is “Elmer Fudd, in perennial but fruitless pursuit of the Prime Ministerial wabbit”…
Guido’s Green Party poll tracker is back today as Natalie Bennett’s party surge onto 10% with YouGov, an all time high. The split in the left is clear: Labour slump to 30% this morning, a five year low, leaving the Tories 2 points clear at the top on 32%. The debate about the debates is having an impact too.
Worth comparing the final poll in 2014 to where we are today. On December 22 Labour were 4 points clear on 36%, with the Greens down on 5%. Since then Labour have lost 6 points and the Greens have doubled their poll rating…
See the numbers in full in Guido’s tracker here.
Think that’s what you call an outlier… on the other hand…
A range of opinion polls…
Phil Webster dryly sums it up: