Labour Surge to 24% in Scotland

Labour are up a massive three points in Scotland with TNS today, with the Corbyn surge meaning the gap with the SNP is a mere 34 points. A whopping 15% of Scots say they like Jezza, and more dislike him than they do the Scottish Tory leader. Onwards, comrades…

YouGov Poll: Remain 40%, Leave 40%

This is the latest from YouGov, out this afternoon:

[googleapps domain=”docs” dir=”spreadsheets/d/16H7UWgbeeO4Ky23eoucfgy-NQaz8tVxDctmMeg-53Uw/pubchart” query=”oid=26138595&format=interactive” width=”540″ height=”371″ /]

Neck and neck…

Meanwhile, Norway, which the PM claimed was bad example of what would happen if you’re not part of the EU, are very happy outside:

Game on…

Britain Most Patriotic Nation in Europe

natcen2

Only 15% of Brits feel “European” and 64% identify only as “British“, making us the most patriotic nation in Europe. Note that Greece and Ireland – countries that have suffered greatly at the hands of the European Central Bank – are also highly patriotic. If the remainers campaign by trying to foist a sense of European identity on the voters they will lose in Britain…  

Source: NatCen Social Research

Corbyn Net Satisfaction Rating Surges to -2%

The Tories are down 3 points on last month with Ipsos Mori, while Corbyn’s net satisfaction rating surges to a personal best of -2%. He’s also doing better than Ed: fewer voters think Labour should ditch Corbyn than thought Miliband should be axed. A stormin’ Corbyn surge?

UPDATE: Jezza is no Nige when it comes to the popularity stakes:

net-approval

Unaired YouGov Poll: Remain 50.6% Leave 49.4%

Curiously, Newsnight pulled the plug on a new YouGov poll showing just a percentage point difference between the Leavers and the Remainers last night. 5,000 people were surveyed online for the What UK Thinks website, one of the largest recent sample sizes on the referendum. The numbers were lined up for Newsnight, yet they were pulled at 10:28 pm. Matthew Goodwin, one of the academics who carried out the research, ain’t impressed, telling Guido:

“I am disappointed that despite promises of coverage a large survey, funded by a research council and relevant to the national debate, was shunted at the last minute with no warning.”

Newsnight say it was a “timing” issue…

The survey also asked how people would vote when prompted with different scenarios about whether the party leaders recommended to Remain or Leave. Farage looks pretty priced in, though the data suggests if Corbyn stuck to his Bennite Eurosceptic principles and backed a Leave vote that could swing it. Either way, it’s all to play for…

UPDATE: Newsnight editor Ian Katz gets in touch to emphasise that the poll was not commissioned by Newsnight.

Poll: Where’s Jezza?

Jeremy Corbyn is rumoured to be missing his date with Liz because he is on holiday, yet his spokesman will not confirm where he is. Where do Guido readers think he has gone? Take our poll…

Globe-Trot-er…

YouGov: Corbyn Most Unpopular Oppositon Leader Ever

Corbyn became the first Labour leader ever to score a negative personal rating in his first Ipsos Mori poll last week. Today he has the worst first rating of any opposition leader ever with YouGov:

[googleapps domain=”docs” dir=”spreadsheets/d/1rSEEJsivF_3XOa25-W0GpN1Q_dXhlWQKW3XXYuMtPvs/pubchart” query=”oid=72189861&format=interactive” width=”540″ height=”340″ /]

Why don’t the voters just JOIN THE TORIES?

Public Prefer Boris to Osborne

An Ipsos Mori poll for the Standard this afternoon finds the public prefer Boris to Osborne as the next Tory leader by almost two to one. Osborne is ahead only among Tory supporters…

YouGov Poll Puts Brexit in the Lead

YouGov for the Times shows 40% of voters are backing Brexit, ahead of those who want to remain in by 2 points:

timse yougov poll

It’s on…[…]

+ READ MORE +

Poll: Corbyn Worst Start For Any Labour Leader Ever

Political Betting’s Mike Smithson points out that Jeremy Corbyn is the first Labour leader ever to score a negative personal net satisfaction rating in his first Ipsos Mori poll:

But apparently “Corbynmania is sweeping the nation”…[…]

+ READ MORE +

No Corbyn Poll Bounce

Bad news for Jezza from ComRes:

The Tories hold a 12 point lead up on 42%…

And the personal ratings of Labour’s new top team are dire:

Almost as if people don’t like politicians who support the IRA…[…]

+ READ MORE +

Corbyn’s First Poll Results

Why don’t the public just JOIN THE TORIES?[…]

+ READ MORE +

Labour’s 22% Strategy

Ed Miliband was famously accused of seeking the support of just 35% of voters, a modest target of which he fell 5 points short. Well, judging by today’s ComRes poll, the best the next Labour leader can hope for is 22%:

[googleapps domain=”docs” dir=”spreadsheets/d/1yGAzvSDeBJs-uz6o3uU0F1KnSCquWtMTzCLUfrk4gD4/pubchart” query=”oid=1268100303&format=interactive” width=”540″ height=”360″ /]

Meanwhile the Tories are on 42%, their highest poll rating for 5 years. […]

+ READ MORE +

Most Tory MPs Want Corbyn to Lead Labour

Who would you most cheer as the next leader of the Labour Party?

Tory MPs for Corbyn

Lobby shop Maitland Political* asked backbench Conservative MPs who they favour being elected leader of the Labour Party next month. Corbyn was the overwhelming choice of 54% of Tory MPs…

*Maitland Political surveyed a sample of 89 backbench Conservative MPs between 1-16 August 2015.
[…]

+ READ MORE +

Corbyn 32 Points Ahead in New Poll

YouGov for the Times say Corbyn has extended his lead of three weeks ago from 17 points to 32:

One more heave, comrades…[…]

+ READ MORE +

New Private Poll: Corbyn 22 Points Clear

The Mirror have got hold of some more private Labour polling:

Burnham slips to third place, Corbyn still well out in front…

UPDATE:  Kendall camp responds:

“So-called “private polls” have no credibility and people should take no notice of them. If people have a real poll produced by a BPC member they should release it, rather than peddling questionable numbers”

[…]

+ READ MORE +



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