Gove Tops ConHome Poll Again

Gove extends his lead as ConHome readers’ favourite for next Tory leader, rising another five points this month. May also had a good month, though Boris slipped a couple of points and Osborne dropped another percentage point to just 8%. Will certainly add fuel to those Gove for deputy PM rumours…

YouGov: Majority Know Celebrity Threesome Identity

The decision on whether the celebrity threesome injunction is to be lifted will be announced at 12:30pm. This morning YouGov found 55% of the 2,000 plus polled now know the identities of those involved. Not to mention anyone and everyone in the US, Canada, Scotland, Sweden and China. The gagging order has been rendered meaningless…

Farage, Like Marmite, is Popular

farage

Nigel Farage is under pressure internally from carping ‘Kippers and Farage-sceptic fellow Brexiteers of the Tory persuasion. UKIP are reminding everyone that although he may be like Marmite, repelling as many as he attracts, he is still more popular than any other politician bar Boris. Guido hopes that if next week the Electoral Commission designates Vote Leave rather than the GO/Leave.EU option,  all concerned will remember that Nigel is the least unpopular political leader in the country. Remember also that Farage – against the media’s expectations – bested Clegg in their head-to-head TV debate.  Nigel should be deployed where he can be most effective. 

At the 1922 Committee meeting this week David Cameron told his backbenchers that they should be telling voters that it was the Conservative Party that gave the people a referendum. In truth it was Nigel Farage who forced the Prime Minister to concede this referendum. Nigel deserves his place in British history for this alone and hopefully for more than that after June 23…

Osborne’s Post-Budget Poll Plunge

Osborne dissatisfaction March

Yet more evidence of decline – the Chancellor’s personal ratings plunge with Ipsos Mori, the Budget gets its worst rating since 2010. He’s now less popular than he was after the Omnishambles Budget. The Osborne effect is so toxic that Corbyn’s satisfaction score even overtakes Cameron’s…

Just 8% Say Osborne Up to Job of PM

Osborne’s worst poll ratings since the Omnishambles Budget of 2012 from YouGov in today’s Times. Even Tory voters say he’s not up to the job of PM…

Osborne’s Ratings Crash to 2013 Levels

The declining trend of the Chancellor’s fortunes is illustrated again by YouGov today – Osborne’s personal ratings as worse than any time since 2013. Just 23% think he’s doing a good job, while twice as many think he’s doing badly. In 2015 Osborne managed to reverse public perceptions and secure a positive rating. Voters have reverted to their first impression…

Leave Ahead in New ORB Poll

Taking account people’s likelihood to vote, OBR finds Leave has a 7 point lead on Remain. Sir Lynton Crosby tells the Telegraph Project Fear isn’t working…

ICM Poll Has Tories and Labour Level

guido poll

The latest ‘gold standard’ ICM poll has the Tories and Labour level on 36% each. For the first time since Corbyn’s election the two parties are neck and neck. Corbyn surge!

ConHome Poll: Buy Boris, Sell Osborne

Boris is well out in front in the latest ConHome Tory leadership survey, taking a 13 point lead on his closest rival. Second and third place go to Gove and Fox, two of the most vocal Eurosceptics, while Osborne slumps to fourth place on a dire 11%.[…]

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Boris Ahead of Osborne with Association Chairmen and Members

Yesterday the Telegraph polled 50 Tory association heads about their choice for next leader. Of those who’ve made up their minds, Boris is backed by 46% and Osborne 31%. Today’s Times has a Yougov poll of 1005 Tory members, Boris is on 43%, well ahead of Osborne on 22%.[…]

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Tory Grassroots Poll: Boris Beats Osborne, Remainers Sink

If it’s a straight fight between Boris and Osborne on the Tory leadership ballot paper there is only one winner. The Telegraph have polled the heads of 50 Conservative associations and Boris is the preferred choice, though almost half are undecided.[…]

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Osborne’s Ratings Hit Three Year Low

Osborne Poll

These numbers from Ipsos MORI and the Standard confirm Osborne is on the wane. His public satisfaction rating has dropped from his highest ever score of 47% in April 2014 to a three year low of 40%. His dissatisfaction rating has meanwhile risen to 46%, meaning Osborne is now more unpopular than Alistair Darling in 2008.[…]

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Gap Closing in Referendum Phone Polls

Perceived polling wisdom – or what is left of it – says that referendum polls conducted by phone should be considerably more accurate than those done online. Tonight’s ComRes phone poll has Remain’s lead cut significantly since Cameron’s renegotiation deal. The trend across all polls is that Remain are falling and Leave are in the ascendancy… […]

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Leave Ahead With ICM

For the first time since 2013, Leave are ahead with ICM. They are still the gold standard pollster according to Political Betting polling guru Mike Smithson…[…]

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Leave 9 Points Ahead Since Dave’s Deal

EU REFORM

The key numbers from this morning’s YouGov referendum poll, the first since Dave’s deal:

  • Leave: 45% (+3)
  • Remain: 36% (-2)

The PM’s deal:

  • Goes too far: 4%
  • Is about right: 17%
  • Doesn’t go far enough: 56%

It is:

  • A good deal: 22%
  • A bad deal: 46%

The biggest lead for Leave since the question was announced last summer…

Via @britainelects
[…]

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Corbyn Surges Ahead of Foot

Great success! Corbyn is not the worst performing Labour leader after the first four months in the job. Jez has surged ahead of Michael Foot, he’s on minus 18 points with Ipsos Mori. Onwards, comrades…[…]

+ READ MORE +



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Quote of the Day

Heather Wheeler talks to Burton Mail about her tweet…

“It was a tongue in cheek pop after the European Parliament tweet – it was purely that. I also wanted to congratulate Team GB on a brilliant result and thirdly congratulate the Commonwealth countries who also did very well. Fourth, I am also looking forwarded to establishing new trade agreements. That was it – nothing more. Let’s just enjoy the summer!”

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