The old guard laughed when newbie pollsters Survation started showing an ascendancy pattern for the UKIP vote last year, yet today a third pollster has UKIP at around 20% for the Euro elections and now they are giving Nick Clegg a kicking on the home front too. Ipsos Mori report that the party are beating the LibDems into fourth place on general election voting intentions. There is hardly cause for celebration for Ed Miliband either – 75% of Tories are satisfied with Cameron but just 53% of Labour supporters are happy with their leader. Bad news all round for the pro-EU parties.
Via Standard/Ipsos Mori.
Well this one has got people chatting this afternoon. Guido’s favourite figure is that more people would rather not go for a drink with either Miliband or Cameron, but the other figures are rather intriguing.
Labour are ahead, but not thanks to their leader.
Tories are behind, but it could be a lot worse without Dave.
The recent plots have been on the wrong team…
Survation is the only pollster that prompts by party name (like on the ballot paper), they are once again showing UKIP on 12% ahead of the LibDems on 10%.
The division of the right-of-centre vote in a first past the post system is going to prove fatal for the Tories. Electoral logic will eventually force a new accomodation with UKIP…