Wednesday, January 21, 2015

Two Graphs Which Show How Greens Are Splitting the Left

Guido’s Green Party poll tracker is back today as Natalie Bennett’s party surge onto 10% with YouGov, an all time high. The split in the left is clear: Labour slump to 30% this morning, a five year low, leaving the Tories 2 points clear at the top on 32%. The debate about the debates is having an impact too. 

Worth comparing the final poll in 2014 to where we are today. On December 22 Labour were 4 points clear on 36%, with the Greens down on 5%. Since then Labour have lost 6 points and the Greens have doubled their poll rating…

See the numbers in full in Guido’s tracker here.

Tuesday, January 20, 2015

Plummeting Public Trust in Lefty NGOs

Edelman has published its annual “trust barometer”, sampling a massive 27,000 people on how they rate politicians, industries and organisations on honesty. The stand out figure is the huge drop in trust for leftist activists disguised as do-gooders: NGOs. In the last year trust in NGOs has plummeted from 67% to 51%, falling below business in the honesty stakes.

Why? The survey found “an excessive focus on money and NGOs losing touch with the UK are the main causes for those losing trust in NGOs”. The report concludes that “the UK is drifting in the ‘trust doldrums’… NGOs are the worst hit”…

Monday, January 19, 2015

Greens on 11% in Latest Ashcroft Poll

Thursday, January 15, 2015

72% Say Let Greens in Leaders Debate

How much is Dave’s “chicken” debate demand to let the Greens take part hurting him with voters? A YouGov/Sun poll today finds 7 in 10 agree with the PM that Natalie Bennett should be allowed in. Meanwhile, overnight:

Guido understands as of yesterday UKIP’s memberships stands at 41,943, but the Greens have now overtaken that. Over to the broadcasters…

Monday, January 12, 2015

Ashcroft Poll: Tories 6 Points Clear of Labour
Populus Poll 5 Points Other Way

Think that’s what you call an outlier… on the other hand…

POP-POLL-12-1

A range of opinion polls…

Phil Webster dryly sums it up:

You want polls? We got polls…

Thursday, December 18, 2014

Labour Three Points Behind Tories in New Ipsos Mori Poll

Tuesday, December 16, 2014

Greens 2 Points Ahead of LibDems For First Time

Labour and UKIP types talking down the Green Surge should beware today’s YouGov/Sun poll. For the first time the Greens are two points clear of the LibDems, with Natalie Bennett’s party hotting up to 8% and Nick Clegg’s melting away to 6%. As you can see from the full numbers in Guido’s tracker, the Greens’ poll rating is rising faster than the anthropogenic concentration of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere…

Friday, December 12, 2014

Labour Oppositions Never Gain Ground in Final Six Months

Fascinating analysis on ConHome showing how Labour’s poll ratings six months out from elections have historically compared with the final election result. Guido’s graph above illustrates how “Labour consistently end up winning fewer votes in the general election than the polls would have suggested six months in advance”. Lewis Baston concludes: “Governments gain more often than oppositions: if my Conservative-supporting readers want some comfort, there are no cases of a Labour opposition gaining ground over the final six months”. Something for Tory MPs to cling onto going into next year…

Thursday, December 11, 2014

YouGov/Sun Poll Tracker: Greens in Fourth Again

The YouGov website does not include the Green Party in their voting intentions graphs, so Guido has decided to give them their deserved billing. Once again the Greens are in fourth today, knocking the LibDems down into fifth. As you can see above this is starting to look like a trend. You can read the numbers in full here. Natalie Bennett says “a grassroots green revolution is under way”…

Poll: Labour Won’t Deliver “Programme British People Want”

How many relaunches is that now? Ed Miliband’s big speech on the economy today is being tipped by sympathetic quarters of the press as showing Labour are serious about reducing the deficit, so at least there’s no chance he will forget to mention it this time. Yet Ed is also going to attack the Tories for planning to cut spending to “1930s levels”, insisting “That is not our programme, that will never be our programme, and I do not believe it is the programme the British people want”. Just one problem: a ComRes poll for ITV out last night shows that this is the “programme the British people want”. 33% support cutting spending to 1930s levels, 26% oppose. Another great relaunch success…


Seen Elsewhere

World’s Second Most Popular Porn Site is Infecting You | Techno Guido
Newspapers No Longer Willing to Toe Party Line | Roy Greenslade
Introducing the New CapX | CapX
Burnham’s Newsnight Debacle Dissected | Dan Hodges
How I Survived Dry January | Nigel Farage
Greens are Commies in Disguise | Andrei Rogobete
When Osborne Weaponised | Paul Waugh
Divided Left Will Cost Ed | George Eaton
I’m Hoping Labour Attack Tories on Education | Toby Young
Westminster’s NHS Conspiracy of Silence | Allister Heath
Milburn Health Consultancy Worth £2 Million | Scrapbook


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Dan Hodges on Labour unity

“We’ve heard a lot over the past few years about how Miliband has united Labour. But he has not united Labour. He has pacified Labour. He has placed it into a medically induced coma following the trauma of the party’s 2010 defeat.”


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