Tuesday, January 14, 2014

End of Ed’s “Cost of Living Crisis”

At the beginning of the year Guido predicted that the data would soon show that Ed’s “Cost-of-Living Crisis” was at an end. Today inflation fell to 2%, hitting the Bank of England’s target for the first time in four years and last month saw reported UK wage growth hit a six year high. Wage growth is set to outstrip inflation and with that the end of the rationale for Ed Miliband’s “Cost-of-Living Crisis”. The public are increasingly confident:

icm-confidence

All Ed’s slogans turn to dust “too far, too fast” was demonstrated to be wrong and Labour MPs think “One Nation Labour” is vacuous. Back to the drawing board…

Monday, January 13, 2014

Bad Al: ‘One Nation’ Means Nothing

Simon Danczuk being mean about Miliband’s flagship One Nation slogan is one thing, now it seems Ed’s special phone-a-friend Alastair Campbell thinks it’s a load of rubbish as well. Bad Al tells the Fabian Society this afternoon:

“One Nation Labour worked last year for Ed’s speech but it wasn’t followed through with hard-hitting policy. One Nation is not established. It means to the public whatever the public wants it to mean.”

In other words, nothing. 

Friday, January 10, 2014

Labour Adviser ‘Likes’ Jew-Bashing

Meet Tess Lanning, Labour Business Policy Adviser since January last year. Tess’ vast realm of expertise is not limited to the world of business; it seems she is also an expert on international relations. Among her Facebook ‘likes’ is the friendly page “The Palestine you need to know”, which offers delightful pearls of wisdom on the Israel-Palestine conflict including how “Zionist Jews beg for money”, “own the media” and why “Israel will surely be eliminated”. Guido doubts a boycott is the business policy advice Ed looking for…

Thursday, January 9, 2014

Attack Dog Holiday

John Rentoul has been analysing the Miliband mantra to make PMQs all nice and fluffy:

“But something had changed. If I had been more observant, I would have noticed that Michael Dugher, the Labour noise machine, was not sitting in his usual place on the steps of the gangway next to the opposition front bench.”

If he had been more observant, Rentoul would have noticed that Michael Dugher has been Tweeting about being in Israel all week.

Wednesday, January 8, 2014

Tories Deny PMQs Deal

A senior Tory pours cold water on the suggestion by Nick Robinson that today’s PMQs could have been the result of Ed and Dave agreeing to take PMQs down a notch or two after the rowdiness of the last year: “You brief people you want calmer, more dignified when you are losing.” That’s that then.

UPDATE: Ta da:

Sleepless Night Figures for Labour Stategists


No wonder the Tories are determined to play this as a presidential straight fight.

Via YouGov/Electionista 

Tuesday, January 7, 2014

Dave’s Designer Hairdresser Denies Bald Patch

Client confidentiality is assured with Lino Carbosiero MBE, the PM’s designer hairdresser.

Appearing on Sky News to deny his gong was anything to do with the fact he re-branded Dave’s sidey, the smooth talker claimed there was no bald patch.

Which would  the cameras…

And in his never ending quest for impartiality, Guido put it to Labour:

“Ed doesn’t have one person that cuts his hair. He sometimes goes to the local barbers.”

A man of the people. The mystery remains about Osborne’s radical redesign…

Labour PPS: ‘One Nation’ is Rubbish

Finally a Labour MP has said what everyone was thinking. Simon Danczuk has gone tonto about Labour’s messaging. Writing in PR Week the Rochdale MP and Labour PPS hits the nail on the head:

“We’ve already been told, from the very top, to intertwine ‘one nation’ into every policy statement we make, to build it into speeches, to continually repeat the phrase ‘one nation’ at every opportunity. I’m beginning to worry we haven’t moved on from the 1990s. But please, it’s not a General Election winning strapline is it? The public isn’t as accepting of such simple messaging any more. Indeed, I’ve come to believe the public is actively turned off by the torturous repetition of political mantras.”

Discussing Labour’s campaigning magazine, Danczuk coughed: “I was at least grateful they hadn’t bothered with Eddie Izzard for a change.” Aren’t we all.

UPDATE: Labour are taking this stoically:

“We believe in Britain being a country where everyone plays their part and we’ll continue to make the argument for One Nation Labour.”

Apparently Danczuk was ditched as PPS last year.

8 Loony Left Over Reactions to #BenefitsStreet

And Guido’s favourite, the Liverpool Labour activist who wants to kill the producers:

The revenge of the Welfare Party.

UPDATE: With an eye on her future political career Jasmin Amelia backtracks and apologises for calling for the murder of TV producers:

Thursday, January 2, 2014

Data Shows Cost-of-Living Crisis About to End

The consensus of broadsheet pundits is that Ed has, with his cost-of-living crisis line that prices are rising faster than wages, nimbly and cleverly switched from a losing argument on the economy to a winning “retail offer”. Guido thinks this successfully plays into the British national psyche; grumbling about both the weather and the cost of things rising. However as the economy rises unemployment falls and earnings will caeteris paribus begin to outstrip inflation as sure as the sun rises. The ONS data shows this is about to happen…

cpi-v-median-earnings

Guido is beginning to worry that Miliband, like his former mentor Gordon Brown, hasn’t really got a strategy. The whole “too far, too fast” thing was bound to end in tears unless there was a permanent recession. As it happened the predictions by Ed Balls of a triple-dip turned out to be über-pessimistic, statisticians say there wasn’t even a double-dip. The only recession the UK suffered originated under Gordon Brown.

The energy cost argument still generates headlines, however international comparisons show that UK energy costs are middle of the league table for Europe – though US fracking and shale gas means their energy costs are way below ours. Fracking however is opposed by Ed Miliband.

What then? Having lost the argument on debt and the economy, followed – food banks notwithstanding – by the cost-of-living crisis evaporating, Labour will have to change tack again. Labour can’t fight on economic competence, because so contaminated is Ed Balls that he even loses to George Osborne. Labour are blamed for the economic mess and are suspected by the voters of still being untrustworthy on dealing with the deficit and debts. They would be unwise to fight on leadership; “weak and weird” Ed versus “posh and out of touch” Dave is not a great prospect for Labour.

Guido’s guess is they will try to have it both ways, partially accept the coalition’s spending envelope and pretend they can tax their way to prosperity. A policy Miliband’s socialist frère Hollande has now abandoned. All the chatter (spun by his adviser Stewart Wood) about Ed’s plans for “big changes in our economy” - a strategy based on East Coast academic theories from Harvard professors on new “Varieties of Capitalism” - will have Lynton Crosby crying with laughter into his (Australian) Chardonnay. Doesn’t mean Miliband isn’t going to try it…

UPDATE: The FT has surveyed economists and they mostly think households will start to feel better off – this is after consumer confidence surged 20% in 2013. Well spotted economists…

ft-survey-economists


Seen Elsewhere

Jason Groves New Mail Deputy Pol Ed | MediaGuido
Cocaine Conservatives | Standard
Jezza Browne Responds to LibDem Haters | LibDem Voice
Why Britain Needs to Leave the EU | Douglas Carswell
Who Tells Ed When He’s Wrong? | Speccie
Hands Off Our Cojones, Mr Clegg | Laura Perrins
London Live Averaging Just 2,400 Viewers | Forbes
Ed’s Constitutional Failure | ConHome
UKIP Poster Girl’s Naked Photos | Sun
Miliband’s Radical Old Labour Agenda | Fraser Nelson
Meet Team Miliband | Dan Hodges


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Dan Hodges on Team Miliband:

“‘Poisonous’, was the picture painted by one former senior advisor. ‘Dysfunctional,’ said one shadow cabinet member. ‘A bunch of medieval courtiers, not an office,’ said another. The most positive description I could get was ‘It’s a work in progress. They’re learning. Slowly. But they are learning.’”



Nick Clegg says:

Do you want lies with that?


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