New polling from Survation in LabourList shows Streeting would take just 23 percent of the vote among 1,123 Labour members in a head-to-head contest against Starmer, who would cruise to victory on 53%. Not even close…
In fact, Starmer would also win against Al Carns, Darren Jones, Bridget Phillipson, Louise Haigh, Yvette Cooper, Shabana Mahmood and Lucy Powell. Three candidates would beat him: Andy Burnham, Ed Miliband, and Angela Rayner…
| 28% | 61% | 11% |
| 41% | 45% | 13% |
| 39% | 46% | 15% |
| 53% | 23% | 24% |
| 46% | 25% | 29% |
| 51% | 27% | 22% |
| 64% | 15% | 21% |
| 40% | 25% | 34% |
| 45% | 17% | 38% |
| 45% | 31% | 24% |
| 50% | 29% | 21% |
Survation CEO Damian Lyons Lowe said:
“In November last year, members were about as likely to back Wes Streeting as Keir Starmer in a hypothetical head to head membership contest.
“However, updates in February, and in member polling conducted yesterday and today (May 14) show a membership increasingly in support of the PM as the Health Secretary’s ambition to topple Keir Starmer have been made both plain and acute, while a significant minority of members – 36% – do not think there should be a change of leadership (57% do, 7% don’t know).
“The vast majority that do (84%) believe the PM should set out a timetable vs an immediate departure (14%) – with the most popular option being that a new leader is in place by conference in September (43%).”
At the time of going to pixel, the Streeting camp is insisting it has the numbers but “things are shifting“. Who will blink first? The stats above might give pause for thought…
LabourList’s regular polling of party members has seen a marked drop in support for Andy Burnham. Was it something he said?
After the King of the North’s communications grid failed at Labour Conference and his arrival/intervention was more of a plop than a splash he has only gone downhill. Latest briefings about Burnham’s desire for a seat didn’t go down that well either…
Burnham’s net popularity has dropped to +54 which is down 15 points since September. Miliband has a comfortable lead of +69. Something the heavy anti-Starmer briefer will be mulling over…
A Survation poll for LabourList makes grim reading for Starmer as he limps into the weekend. Of over 2,000 Labour members surveyed, nearly half (48.9%) think the party is going in the wrong direction, while one in ten believes Reform will lead the next government. The party faithful aren’t too thrilled about the benefits squeeze and Whitehall belt-tightening…
LabourList’s cabinet rankings paint a dire picture for Number 10 as well. Starmer scrapes in at 17th place with a feeble +13.8 net approval, while his ‘iron’ Chancellor Rachel Reeves comes in last at -11.1. It’s better news for Red Ed, who comes out on top with +68.6 approval rating, followed closely by Angela Rayner and Lisa Nandy. Meanwhile almost a third (31.9%) think Labour needs a new leader before the next election. Change…
Speaking at his speech on how to achieve “progressive capitalism” Wes Streeting fired a dig and Andy Burnham:
“Bond markets are not bond villains and fiscal rules matter.”
