Campaign Report: 21 Days to Go

Football Brexit

Leave message: Patriotic England footballers for Brexit!

Remain message: Farmers weekly back Remain.

Cut through: Cameron’s grilling on Sky’s #InOrOut Debate.

Leave social media count: 446,349 likes, 49,936 followers.

Remain social media count: 449,429 likes, 32,921 followers.

Odds: Remain 2/5, Leave between 12/5

Latest poll: Remain 41%, Leave 41% (YouGov, online). Poll of Polls is now Remain 51%, Leave 49%.

Over 3,400 EU Citizens Sent Polling Cards

euref-polling-card

Latest from the Electoral Commission on the EU citizens with polling cards debacle – so far 3,462 foreign voters were sent referendum polling cards or postal votes despite not having a vote. That’s a lot more than they were suggesting yesterday. The real figure could be higher still, as six more local authorities have yet to confirm whether they have a problem. Slow clap…

JP Morgan’s Stephanie Flanders: Remainers ‘Exaggerating’ Costs of Brexit

flanders

JP Morgan boss Jamie Dimon offered another doom-mongering prediction this morning, claiming Brexit would be “terrible” for the economy and thousands of jobs would be lost. He should read the analysis of his own Chief Market Strategist, one Stephanie Flanders. She says Remain campaigners warning of Armageddon are exaggerating:

“Though we anticipate a vote in favour of remaining in the European Union , a “leave” vote in the coming UK referendum is a distinct possibility and is something that investors should be prepared for. Long term, the costs… of Brexit to the UK economy are probably exaggerated by commentators and campaigners”

Of course, JP Morgan supported the single currency, spends millions lobbying the European Commission and is a major donor to Stronger In. No further questions…

Downing Street Scream Blue Purdah

gove

Downing Street/Remain have been rattled by Vote Leave’s recent strategy shift towards proposing a post-Brexit policy platform. In the last week or so Gove, Boris and Priti have begun to offer alternative policies for a Leave government, such as an Australian-style immigration points system and scrapping VAT on domestic fuel. Craig Oliver has been heard privately complaining that Leave ministers talking about policy are breaching purdah rules – a bizarre argument since they are not proposing policies for this government. Also amusing to hear Remain claim Leave aren’t campaigning fairly. This new tactic from Vote Leave grabs headlines, is difficult to rebut and is clearly spooking Number 10…

Tetchy Dave Snaps at Kate Garraway

Last night Cameron called Faisal Islam “glib” for asking about immigration, this morning he snapped at Kate Garraway:

KG: “You still haven’t answered how we would deal with [immigration] if we stay in.”

DC: “I am answering. Let me give you some answers. First of all, for people outside the European Union, we’ve closed down bogus colleges.”

KG: “So why didn’t we get the numbers under 100,000?”

DC: “You keep asking me a question and then literally not giving me a change to answer.”

KG: “Ok…”

Kate was right – Cameron wasn’t answering about EU immigration, he immediately deflected to non-EU immigration. This question is going to be asked time and time again and he cannot answer…

#InOrOut Debate: The Spin Room

Farage on “the key issue”:

He didn’t hold back on Cameron’s performance:

Ex-military IDS on the real reason we “get on with all our neighbours”:

And on Cameron’s weak economic arguments:

Bring on Gove…

#InOrOut Debate: Audience Turns on Cameron

Cameron should have had an easy ride with the audience, having been softened by 30 minutes of project fear. If anything, they were tougher…

Soraya Bouazzaoui, an English Literature student waiting to study her Masters, gave Cameron a broadside over Turkey joining the EU:

“They are under such heavy accusation by the entire Middle East for funding ISIS. How can you reassure us of staying in the EU and saying there are no risks, when there are clear risks? Especially when it comes to ISIS.”

The PM was clearly not expecting such a fierce line of questioning over something he has so far strived to dodge as quickly and efficiently as possible. Soraya demolished Cameron’s “waffling” over security. She should expect a call from Vote Leave tomorrow…

James Dexter leant the defining voice of the public’s rection of project fear: “Do you regret the personal damage that your scare mongering campaign has done to your reputational legacy. Personal damage.” Ouch…

#InOrOut Debate: Cameron’s Façade Cracks

Faisal Islam did an admirable job destroying the PM’s arguments for Remain. First Dave was seen as empty on immigration, protesting “I’m not going to put a date” on immigration controls.

Next up, Islam humiliated Cameron in front of the audience over his WW3 Brexit claims, before laying into the failure of project fear in general:

Bring on the audience…

Campaign Report: 21 Days to Go

patrick stewart facepalm

Leave message: Liam Fox says EU migration causes intense pressure on housing.

Remain message: Patrick Stewart doesn’t want postwar Europe to unravel.

Cut through: Corbyn finally joins the In campaign, mixed results.

Leave social media count: 443,227 likes, 49,283 followers.[…]

+ READ MORE +

Voting Leave Does Make Food Cheaper

Boris has proved the Remain spin on food prices is bull – by selling a cow. The neo-Whig MP (only bovine experts will get that one) tried to get the best price he cud for the “beautiful milker”. As the specimen was a dairy Frisian heifer, the owner will be udderly disappointed BoJo only got £960, £110 less than the market price.[…]

+ READ MORE +

EU Citizens Were Sent Polling Cards and Postal Votes

euref-polling-card

Following Guido’s story that a number of EU citizens had been sent referendum polling cards despite not having a vote, the Electoral Commission has confirmed an IT glitch meant people were wrongly sent ballots and postal votes:

“We are aware that a small number of non-eligible EU citizens had mistakenly received poll cards and, in some instances, postal votes for the EU Referendum.

[…]

+ READ MORE +

Campaign Report: 22 Days to Go

boris gove

Leave message: £50,000,000 gamification from Vote Leave.

Remain message: EU will create 100,000 future jobs.

Cut through: Australian points based immigration system if we Leave.

Leave social media count: 439,356 likes, 48,785 followers.

Remain social media count: 444,703 likes, 32,285 followers.[…]

+ READ MORE +

Turncoat Tolhurst Backs Remain

kelly

Tory MP Kelly Tolhurst, who claimed to be a Eurosceptic worried about EU immigration in order to defeat UKIP’s Mark Reckless, has endorsed Remain:

“Having listened to the debate, looked at the facts, and spoken to prominent campaigners on both sides, I have now made my own decision that I will be voting to remain on the 23rd June.

[…]

+ READ MORE +

Shadow Europe Minister: Don’t Speak to Old White Men

MAJOR

Last week Shadow Europe Minister Pat Glass called a voter a “horrible racist for talking about immigration. Today the mask has slipped again. At a Remain rally, Glass told voters to “speak to your mother, your grandmother. Don’t speak to your grandfather, we know the problem are older white men.” Older white men like Major General Julian Thompson, who fought for Britain in the Falklands and says we should leave because the EU weakens our defences.[…]

+ READ MORE +

Lyin’ Ryan Losin’ It

Jim Messina was seen at the Remain HQ in the City yesterday on the day the polls turned. Presumably Messina was there to give the campaign – now largely sidelined by Downing Street when it comes to strategy – a kick up the In-side.[…]

+ READ MORE +

Campaign Report: 22 Days to Go

oil rig

Leave message: Government would axe fuel VAT post-Brexit.

Remain message: Lord Sugar says Remain’s better for business.

Cut through: Fuel VAT cut post-Brexit.

Leave social media count: 434,209 likes, 48,062 followers.

Remain social media count: 440,282 likes, 31,838 followers.

Odds: Remain 1/3, Leave 3/1

Latest poll: Remain 44%, Leave 47% (ICM, phone). […]

+ READ MORE +



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Boris praises statements from Carney and Osborne…

“Clear that Project Fear is now over.”

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