Poll: Public Backs Brexit if Cam Plan Fails

A poll for the Standard tonight finds Londoners currently want to stay in the EU by 45% to 37%, but the numbers reverse almost completely if Cameron’s renegotiation attempts fail. No pressure…

UPDATE: And a ComRes/ITV poll finds if a referendum was held tomorrow the UK would leave:

Dave’s Brexit ‘Threat’

Dave is in the West Midlands for his big speech today, 46 years since the last time a top Tory chose that setting to crack down on immigration. Labour yesterday proposed a two year ban on new migrants claiming benefits, so the PM is promising four. It’ll be the closest Cameron has come to openly threatening Brexit, today he will “rule nothing out”. Expect UKIP to respond with pre-prepared attack lines on Osborne: the Times reports

“Behind the scenes George Osborne has been fighting to protect the free movement policy and he’s won. Osborne has secured what his Treasury officials wanted – openness to entrepreneurial, hardworking and jobless young Europeans who come to Britain”

Europe minister David Lidington has invited EU ambassadors to watch the speech live via video link in the Foreign Office. Doesn’t sound like Dave is expecting to get up their noses too much…

Who Is Tony Blair Trying to Kid?

Tony Blair, November 2014:

“And it was perfectly clear when it was taking shape in the late 1990s that countries were being pulled into it altogether on the basis of political will and that was always going to be risky.”

Tony Blair, June 1998:

“The decision to launch the single currency is the first step and marks the turning point for Europe, marks stability and growth and is crucial to high levels of growth and employment.”

Why bother?

Owen Patters On

Even when serving as Northern Ireland Secretary, Owen Paterson was plotting to be the standard bearer of the right. Inviting MPs over for weekends at his official residence, he would sound out potential allies. Since being sacked he has hosted a number of increasingly pompous keynote speeches on right-wing catnip subjects, such as the global warming and tax cuts. Today he’s banging on about Europe. Reportedly only two MPs have turned up to listen.

As you can see, they were in for a Monday morning treat:

I. INTRODUCTORY REMARKS

II. HISTORY OF THE EU – A political project from conception, masquerading as an economic project

III. MOTIVATION FOR A FULL POLITICAL UNION EXPOSED Contemporary Examples

IV. LOSING INFLUENCE IN THE EU

V. LOSING INFLUENCE ON THE WORLD STAGE:
1/28TH OF A CHAIR OR A WHOLE CHAIR AT ‘TOP TABLES’

VI. BOTH A SINGLE MARKET AND GLOBAL TRADE
a) a single market
b) global trade
c) immigration

VII. AN OPTIMISTIC, POSITIVE VISION – THE UK AFTER THE EU

VIII. AN ORDERLY EXIT – INVOKING ARTICLE 50

Paterson was clearly calculating that the Tories would be up the creek this week, post Rochester. Instead they are strangely united, watching Ed drive off a cliff in quiet amusement. It’s safe to say O-patz has not had much luck in his campaign so far, and people are hardly flocking to his banner. For good measure, his speech clashed with one by Theresa May. Someone who actually has a chance of being the next Tory leader…

Ending the Migrant Worker Subsidy

immigrant-subsidy

Youth unemployment in the Eurozone’s southern victims is catastrophic, half their young have no jobs. The young are mobile, usually without children and it is entirely natural that they will seek work where it is, in fact it is admirable. The above chart highlights the lure of the UK, unskilled minimum wage workers from the EU can double or triple their wages and the British taxpayer will top up their income with a benefits/tax credit subsidy as well. This is counter-productive, the subsidy is not required, the competition undercuts already difficult to employ unskilled British youth.

Open Europe’s research out this morning charts a legal and political path that is achievable within the EU. Open Europe is seen as having the ear of the Chancellor on EU matters, though these proposals should appeal across the political spectrum. Even to europhiles – if they have any sense…

The World Will End If You Vote UKIP

First it was value of your home that would plummet if you vote UKIP, and now it’s the markets that will crash should a small coastal town return the same MP the have had for the last four years:

“UKIP gains are changing the political landscape in Britain and these shifts have wider effects than shaking-up British politics; they are likely to spark short-term volatility in financial markets,” claims someone called Nigel Green, who claims to be the founder and chief executive of the deVere Group.

What a load of old bollocks. And a sneak peek of the nonsense that will be peddled if we ever get that referendum…

Dear Mr Dacre, I Am Now a Eurosceptic…

Europhile apostate Mehdi Hasan renounces his faith in the EU in this week’s Staggers:

“Today, Europe is only marginally more popular with the public than ebola; hard-right parties are sweeping to victory in European elections in the UK, France and Denmark; and the eurozone has only narrowly dodged a triple-dip recession. With all this going on, it’s pretty difficult to mount a credible defence of the single currency or, for that matter, the EU itself.

The left across Europe has been seduced by the EU’s promise of workers’ rights – forgetting that you can’t enjoy those rights if you don’t have a job to begin with. Mass unemployment is now a fact of life across swaths of the EU and, especially, the eurozone. More than half of young people are jobless in both Greece and Spain…

This is a political and economic scandal, not to mention a human tragedy. And progressives should be saying so. But the left in the UK has ceded all the Eurosceptic terrain… to Ukip and the Tory right. We were wrong then. Let’s not be wrong now.”

Time for another job application?

EU Were Wrong Then, Wrong Now

Establishment politicians and big businessmen say that the EU is vital to our prosperity. Sound familiar? As we wait for John Major to drop his pearls of wisdom let’s remind ourselves what they said about the euro.

Video courtesy of Dan Hannan…

Now ECJ Says Britain CAN Ban Benefit Tourists

The European Court of Justice has this morning ruled that an unemployed Romanian woman living in Germany had no automatic legal right to access unemployment benefits. The Court found that member states “must have the possibility of refusing to grant […]

+ READ MORE +

Quote of the Day

Dan Hannan on who really got the EU rebate

“… ludicrously, we’re being told that we ought to be cheering because George Osborne has succeeded in halving the amount. No he hasn’t. All he has done is factored in […]

+ READ MORE +

Quote of the Day

Bjarni Benediktsson, Iceland’s foreign minister says Iceland is better off out of the EU…

“We have reached the clear conclusion over and over again that Iceland’s interests are better secured outside the EU. That is our conclusion and to my […]

+ READ MORE +

Wilkommen Herr Llewellyn: Cam Chief ‘Holding Out For Berlin’

Guido’s revelation that Cameron’s Europhile Chief of Staff wants out of Downing Street, has not been denied.

Forget the rumours of Rome, now a well versed government source whispers that Ed Llewellyn is holding out to secure the Ambassadorship to […]

+ READ MORE +



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Quote of the Day

Chuka has been trying to spin the Siemens row:

Chuka Umunna: It’s no different from Sky News quoting a business leader.

Adam Boulton: Except yours says ‘VOTE LABOUR’ at the bottom.

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