Campaign Report: Day 8

Remain message: Obama wants Britain to Remain.

obama dc

Leave message: Obama is hypocritically interfering in the referendum.

farage obama

Cut through: Obama on US/UK trade agreement: “UK’s going to be at the back of the queue.”

Leave social media count: 327,823 likes, 36,541 followers.

Remain social media count: 360,065 likes, 24,606 followers.

Odds: Remain 4/9 Leave 11/4

Latest poll: Remain 51% (+2) Leave 40% (+1) (ComRes, phone). Poll of Polls is now Remain 54 (+1) Leave 46 (-1).

Obama’s Threat to Britain

Obama insisted the referendum decision is British voters’ and theirs alone… and then came the bombshell threat. The outgoing President secured tomorrow’s headlines by warning a US-UK trade deal post-Brexit “won’t happen any time soon” and claiming Britain “will be at the back of the queue”. Of course it’s because we’re in the EU that we don’t have a trade deal with the US. How will voters react when they see the US President threatening them on the News at Ten?

Also worth bearing in mind that currently with no trade deal in place with the US, the UK is the biggest investment partner already and the US is the biggest investor in the UK ($324 billion). UK investment in the US last year was $282 billion. Over a million Americans work for British companies and over a million Britons are employed by American companies. We are already at the front of the queue doing $56 billion of transatlantic trade last year…

BBC Critique of Osborne’s Dodgy Dossier Mysteriously Toned Down

Before After BBC Reality Check

The BBC’s Reality Check service tore into Osborne’s dodgy dossier on Monday, dismissing his £4,300 figure as “questionable and probably not particularly helpful”. Yet for some mysterious reason the version appearing on the site today has been toned down. The words “it’s not true”, referring to the Chancellor’s top line figure, havevanished with no explanation. The rest of the criticism remains, but that killer line is gone. Curiouser and curiouser…

Boris is Right: White House Did Return Churchill Bust

Boris is coming in for heavy criticism for writing that a bust of Winston Churchill was removed from the White House and returned to the British embassy when Obama took office. Sky News’ Faisal Islam reports that Boris’ claim is “not true”, the Guardian say it has been “debunked”. They point to this White House statement and photo from 2012 showing Obama and Cameron inspecting a Churchill bust in the private residence of the White House, outside the Treaty room:

Yet that statement was pure spin…

As the Telegraph revealed four years ago, there were originally two matching busts of Churchill by Jacob Epstein in the White House. The one referred to in the White House statement does indeed remain in place. Yet when Obama took over from Bush, the second bust was moved to the residence of Sir Peter Westmacott, who was then Britain’s ambassador to the US. The White House were forced to admit that they had indeed returned the bust. Boris is proven right…

UPDATE: The British Embassy claim it was Obama’s decision:

“It was lent for the first term of office of President Bush. When the President was elected for his second and final term, the loan was extended until January 2009. The new President has decided not to continue this loan.”

UPDATE II: Obama just confirmed at the joint press conference with Camaeron that it was his decision to remove the Oval Office Churchill bust and replace it with one of Martin Luther King. Yet in 2012 White House comms director Dan Pfieffer insisted:

“The bust that was returned as a matter of course with all the other artwork that had been loaned to President Bush for display in his Oval Office and not something that President Obama or his Administration chose to do”

Obama has just exposed his spinner telling a straight lie…

Obama: Nope

nope

Boris leads the counter-charge against Obama this morning

“For the United States to tell us in the UK that we must surrender control of so much of our democracy – it is a breathtaking example of the principle of do-as-I-say-but-not-as-I-do. It is incoherent. It is inconsistent, and yes it is downright hypocritical.”

The leader of a country that was founded after fighting for independence from a foreign empire is seeking to convince the British that they don’t need their own “Independence Day”. Cameron solicited this endorsement and hopes it will be the turning point in the referendum campaign.

The challenge for Brexiteers is to turn Obama into a negative for the Remainers. The Remainers are making their argumentum ad verecundiam, that all these important people and organisations say “Remain”. The Brexiteers need to show that it is in voters’ interests to leave the EU, that the likes of big business, the IMF and the White House do not have their individual best interests at heart. That taking back control of the country from the hands of the Davos-attending elite, with priorities counter to our own national interests, is in the best interests of ordinary people…

Campaign Report: Day 7

Leave message: Spend the £350 million we send to the EU every week on the NHS.

vote leave money

Remain message: Yanks say Remain.

Cut through: Obama visiting.

Leave social media count: 327,513 likes, 36,293 followers.

Remain social media count: 358,005 likes, 24,303 followers.

Odds: Leave 7/4, Remain 4/7

Latest poll: Remain 49% (-3) Leave 39% (-4) (Ipsos MORI, phone). Poll of Polls is now Remain 53 (+1) Leave 47 (-1).

Campaign Report: Day 6

Leave message: Build hospitals with money meant for EU.

vote leave money

Remain message: Lingerie shops and gap-yah outfitters back remain.

entrepreneurs In

Cut through: Vote Leave’s Dominic Cummings at the Treasury Select Committee.

Leave social media count: 327,325 likes, 36,116 followers.

Remain social media count: 355,739 likes, 24,139 followers.

Odds: Leave 7/4, Remain 4/7

Latest poll: Remain 49% (-3) Leave 39% (-4) (Ipsos MORI, phone). Poll of Polls is now Remain 53 (+1) Leave 47 (-1).

Goldman Alumni Back Remain

Goldman

Remainers have been trumpeting the letter from eight former U.S. Treasury secretaries arguing that Brexit would leave the UK poorer, more inward looking and threaten the City. But Guido couldn’t help but find some of the signatories’ names familiar, so he decided to take a glance at a few of their CVs:

Henry Paulson: worked at Goldman for twenty years, eventually becoming CEO.
Lawrence Summers: Former Hedge fund partner, and worked as a freelance speaker. Gave six-figure speeches at Goldman and a range of other investment banks.
Robert Rubin:Spent 26 years at Goldman, eventually serving as a member of the board and co-chairman from 1990 to 1992.

Unsurprisingly the Remain camp decided to go with “former Treasury secretaries” rather than “former Goldman big-shots” for the headline…

IPSA: MPs Can Use Expenses to Campaign on Referendum

expenses

Cameron has imposed strict rules on the campaign activities of ministers and SpAds during the referendum, and CCHQ have banned Tory associations from using party resources to campaign for Leave. So Eurosceptic MPs are delighted with a ruling by IPSA […]

+ READ MORE +

Campaign Report: Day 5

Leave message: Gove makes case for Brexit, mocks Remainer’s scaremongering.

Michael Gove EU Speech

Remain message: All the smart people back Remain, including Bill Gates.

gates-euref

Cut through: Juncker’s pessimistic comments on EU meddling hit front pages.

Leave social media count: 327,040 likes, 36,012[…]

+ READ MORE +

Creagh: Vote Remain For Dolphins in the Thames

Creagh River

Mary Creagh has come up with a brilliant environmental justification for staying in the EU. Apparently we have Brussels to thank for “seals and even dolphins making regular appearances down river… where once it was dangerous to swim or swallow […]

+ READ MORE +

Gove’s Truth Bullets For Project Fear

“The City of London would become a ghost down, our manufacturing industries would be sanctioned more punitively than even communist North Korea, decades would pass before a single British Land Rover or Mr Kipling cake could ever again be sold

[…]

+ READ MORE +



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