Poll: Public Backs Brexit if Cam Plan Fails

A poll for the Standard tonight finds Londoners currently want to stay in the EU by 45% to 37%, but the numbers reverse almost completely if Cameron’s renegotiation attempts fail. No pressure…

UPDATE: And a ComRes/ITV poll finds if a referendum was held tomorrow the UK would leave:

Dave’s Brexit ‘Threat’

Dave is in the West Midlands for his big speech today, 46 years since the last time a top Tory chose that setting to crack down on immigration. Labour yesterday proposed a two year ban on new migrants claiming benefits, so the PM is promising four. It’ll be the closest Cameron has come to openly threatening Brexit, today he will “rule nothing out”. Expect UKIP to respond with pre-prepared attack lines on Osborne: the Times reports

“Behind the scenes George Osborne has been fighting to protect the free movement policy and he’s won. Osborne has secured what his Treasury officials wanted – openness to entrepreneurial, hardworking and jobless young Europeans who come to Britain”

Europe minister David Lidington has invited EU ambassadors to watch the speech live via video link in the Foreign Office. Doesn’t sound like Dave is expecting to get up their noses too much…

AD: After Dave

The official text lingo for Tory MPs discussing the post-Cameron age appears to be “AD” for “After Dave”.

As in:

“Won’t it be nice when we will be able to do all sorts of right-wing stuff, AD.”

Or:

“Who are you backing, AD? I’ve always liked that Owen Paterson”.

Even the most loyal of loyalist Cameroons concede that should Dave scrape through in 2015, he would be hard pushed to survive the inevitable party split triggered by a referendum two years later.

Dave’s Out of Touch-Lamp

Guido is always one to shine a light on shady deals in dark corridors of power, so watt’s this one all about? The two desk lamps in David Cameron’s Downing Street ohm retail at an austerity-busting £749. “Hand-assembled in Oxford from the finest aluminium, chrome and bone china”, the lamps were a freebie from Witney-based company Original BTC, lamp provider to stars such as Gordon Ramsay and Sex and the City’s Carrie Bradshaw. Guido found this whole story rather illuminating…

Another Happy Reader…

The PM clearly got his daily dose yesterday, referencing the pay-off line from the Scottish poll story Guido ran:

“More people believe in the Loch Ness monster than believe in his leadership.”

Not the first time Dave has done one of Guido’s lines…

Rich’s Monday Morning View

rochester

Perhaps This is Why Bercow is So Short-Tempered With Dave

Compare and contrast the Speaker’s own visit Down Under last month, when he only managed to half fill a small side room, to the footage of Dave stuffing the main chamber to the the rafters today. Must have hurt….

Theresa May Back as Favourite for Next Tory Leader

Norman Baker has at last brought Theresa May some good news after a fairly dire week. Regular readers will not be surprised about the Loon of Lewis has quit – Guido reported the preparations for the departure back in mid-October. Now ConHome have even more good news for the Home Secretary:

“The second loss of a child abuse enquiry Chairman.  A backbench backlash over the European Arrest Warrant – which isn’t all that popular in Downing Street or the Whips’ Office either.  Revelations of enough illegal immigrants undeported “to fill Wembley Stadium almost five times over“.  Politicians described as having had their “worst week ever” have seldom actually had it.  But it is hard to think of a worse one than last week for Theresa May – notwithstanding Norman Baker’s welcome resignation. Yet here she is – back on top of our monthly poll future Party leader poll.”

May has the backing of 24% of the Tory grassroots, to Boris’ 22%.

Gove is in third on 11%, ahead of George on 10%, with his protege Saj on 9%.

But of course, ‘there isn’t a vacancy’…

Quote of the Day

David Cameron drug policy reformer and leadership contender in 2005…

“Politicians attempt to appeal to the lowest common denominator by posturing with tough policies and calling for crackdown after crackdown. Drugs policy has been failing for decades.”[…]

+ READ MORE +

64% of Women Say Cameron Was Right Not to Wear T-Shirt
Just 14% Say He Should Have Taken Part in Stunt

Well, it seems Harriet Harman’s PMQs protest has backfired massively. A YouGov poll this afternoon finds women overwhelmingly back the PM, with 64% saying he was right not to wear the “This is what a feminist looks like” t-shirt, compared […]

+ READ MORE +

Wilkommen Herr Llewellyn: Cam Chief ‘Holding Out For Berlin’

Guido’s revelation that Cameron’s Europhile Chief of Staff wants out of Downing Street, has not been denied.

Forget the rumours of Rome, now a well versed government source whispers that Ed Llewellyn is holding out to secure the Ambassadorship to […]

+ READ MORE +

#BUMPGATE: Cam ‘Attacker’ Speaks

ITV have found the man who ran into the PM in Leeds. Here is Dean Farley’s latest Facebook status:

As for the verdict of his friends:

Turns out he is a jogger:

Mystery solved?[…]

+ READ MORE +



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Quote of the Day

Ken Clarke tells the Ben Fellows trial:

“The idea that I would go strolling off in order to grope a man in an office is highly unlikely.”

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