Wednesday, December 14, 2011

Miliband’s Tactical Blunder

Europe is now the third most important issue to voters. A few months ago Guido suggested that if Ed had any eye for the long game he would ground Labour in popular Euroscepticism. He didn’t listen, in fact he did the polar opposite, and now he’s paying the price in the polls. Miliband’s lead over the Tories is about the only reason most of the Parliamentary Labour Party put up with him. Today every major polling firm has the Tories ahead or at least level with Labour again. Uh oh…

YouGov and Ipos-Mori both have the Tories on 2 points ahead on 41, while Survation and ComRes have them tied on 38. The LibDems are still just on the right side of double digits, while UKIP, who have been enjoying a recent surge while it appeared Cameron was going to sell the country down the river, have dropped back down to the 4 or 5 point mark.  That vote is sure to trickle back up after the initial veto-honeymoon for Dave…

Miliband has slumped in personal rankings as well. And it’s not just the pro-polling:

“But it’s a new LabourList poll of grassroots members that may also dismay Team Miliband. It found that the number of their readers rating Ed a good or excellent leader has fallen from 40% in November to just 26% this month. His decline in popularity appears to be linked to the public sector strikes: although 83% of readers backed the industrial action, only 25% though the Labour leader handled his party’s response well.”

Labour will win tomorrow’s by-election, but if these numbers become a regular feature it’s going take more than a “five-point plan for jobs and growth” to save Ed’s bacon.

Monday, December 12, 2011

Another Sorry Chapter in the Cable Fable

When doorstepped this morning, Vince Cable ruled out resigning saying: “I’m just getting on with my job as I always do.” So he limps on to fight, and lose, another day, but that’s not to say he hasn’t been banging his steel mug against the bars of his cell this weekend. With Clegg initially saying he was behind the national interest, Cable’s voice on the outside, also known as the spectacularly irritating Matthew Oakeshott, was deployed to stir things up.

The Observer reported: “One of Vince Cable’s closest allies, Lord Oakeshott, has refused to rule out a possible resignation by the business secretary. Cable’s comrade Will Hutton had clearly had a direct earful too: “He will speak out aggressively against Cameron’s veto; his decision is whether to resign to do so or say so in office, courting his sacking.” Will Hutton being wrong about something comes as no surprise, but him making something up would. Yet again Cable has clearly threatened that often cited nuclear bomb, yet failed to push the button. When push comes to shove, he’s yellow to his core…

Friday, December 9, 2011

Friday Caption Contest (Talk to the Hand Edition)

After years of trying Guido is pleased to reveal that uber-commenter “Billy Bowden” has finally won a caption contest:

“New moderater joins Order-Order.com”

It’s the end of an era. There’s a t-shirt in the post Billy…

Thursday, December 8, 2011

Boris Bus Will Be On Time

The last of the despised killer bendy-buses is off the streets of London and Guido understands that the first new Routemaster will be on the streets next week. Boris actually promised in his manifesto to put the new bus on the road before the end of his first term. There was much scepticism that the cleaner-greener and, according to the experts, most advanced bus in the world, would see the light of day before Boris has to face the voters next year.

It’s an electric bus (it uses a small diesel engine to generate electricity, when it is needed) and is twice as economical as a conventional double decker at 11.6 miles to the gallon compared to the killer bendies 4.5 miles to the gallon. Boris buses following on from Boris bikes are visible signs of success. Cameron, who promised so much in his manifesto, might be a little discomforted by such an eye-catching public service advance.

Wednesday, December 7, 2011

Ken Clarke, Europe and a Case of Tucker’s Law

If there was ever a perfect example of Tucker’s Law, then the front page of this morning’s FT would be it. With Cameron finally waking up to the fact that his position as leader of a Eurosceptic party is being openly discussed, he’s come out guns blazing in the Times, claiming he will not sign any piece of paper that threatens the City or British interests as Europe begins the process of treaty change. It will annoy the Europeans and it’s not far enough for most his party, but then Ken Clarke went and made it a whole lot worse:

“Ken Clarke has put himself at odds with David Cameron by saying Britain should focus on “how to maintain the financial stability of the western world” at this week’s European Union summit … Asked in a Financial Times interview whether the summit was a good moment to extract concessions … Mr Clarke said: “No, no.””

Guido thought the turn of phrase was “no, no, no”? This is the latest in string of grenades Clarke has been willing to throw. They would be gaffes if it was not so obviously deliberate. IDS is apparently on the warpath too…

Sunday, December 4, 2011

Poll Bounce Reflects Lucky Hat-Trick for Dave

The ICM poll showing a 2% Tory lead is being discounted as a rogue, after all YouGov and others show a single digit lead for Ed Miliband. That may be true, but there is a consistent Tory lead when poll respondents are forced to choose between Cameron and Miliband. A cabinet minister told Guido that come election day the choice will boil down to Prime Minister Miliband or Prime Minister Cameron and that is no contest. Dave, like Blair before him, is lucky in his opponents.

Dave’s luck held last week, for on the day following George Osborne telling the nation that the Coalition would fail to in its primary mission of closing the deficit by the end of this parliament, a failure to achieve the goal which Osborne set himself, the news flow turned on the unions. Any attack by Ed Balls on Osborne was drowned out by the Labour Party’s paymasters striking against deficit reducing measures.

Dave’s third piece of luck was provided by his friend Jeremy Clarkson. Clarkson’s “shoot the strikers” row drowned out the union’s message. Most of the population will remember only Clarkson’s outburst about strikers rather than the exact reason they were striking. Instead of the front page story being about pensions it was about Clarkson, some might think the unions were protesting against JeremyDave couldn’t have planned it better…

Thursday, December 1, 2011

Clarkson Takes Firm Line On Union Unrest

Cameron also took a firm line on Union Pilgrims at PMQs yesterday:

“I think the idea of full-time trade unionists working in the public sector on trade union business, rather than serving the public – I don’t think that is right and we are going to put that to an end. The evidence today makes that even stronger.”

Defunding the left of the £113 million wasted on union agitators which can be switched to frontline services is no small thing.

Compared with Clarkson, it is a centrist position…

Wednesday, November 23, 2011

Why Labour Won’t Condemn the Strikes

Just in time for PMQs the Quarter Three donation figures reveal that 89% of Labour’s funding comes from the unions. With Dave buying land with £140,000 cash from a lobbyist you can see the dividing lines drawing themselves. Handbags at noon.

Monday, November 14, 2011

Rich & Mark’s Monday Morning View

Friday, November 11, 2011

Is Being a Dickhead No Longer Cool?

The East London Tech City is the pet project of some of the trendier inhabitants of No 10. Yesterday Dave announced 600 new businesses have started up in the area Old Street.

He also appointed a “Tech City Ambassador” – Ben Hammersley of Wired. A King of the Dickheads, if you will…


Seen Elsewhere

How Avoidable Scandals Destroy Stupid Politicians | Alex Wickham
UKIP Mosque Confusion | The Week
Let’s Ban the Word Internet | Padraig Reidy
Are the Broadcasters Ready For the Election? | Specccie
Moral Bankruptcy of the BBC | David Keighley
UKIP’s ‘Starsky and Hutch’ | Total Politics
Innocent Sun Journo Just Doing Her Job | Sun
Boris Sent Up North | Times
The Only Way to Mend the EU | Leo McKinstry
Northern Labour Tearing Party Apart | David Aaronovitch
Osborne is Son of Brown | Peter Oborne


Find out more about PLMR AD-MS


Tony Blair threatens Ed:

“If you had a strong political lead that was combining the politics of aspiration with the politics of compassion, I still think that’s where you could get a substantial majority…  If I ever do an interview on [the state of the Labour Party], it will have to be at length…”



Left on Left says:

The lefties are attacking because the panellist is a millionaire and lives in a London home worth upwards of two million. Someone had best tell them he’s called Ed Miliband.


Tip off Guido
Web Guido's Archives

Subscribe me to:






RSS


AddThis Feed Button
Archive


Labels
Guido Reads
Follow

Get every new post delivered to your Inbox.

Join 1,617 other followers