Thursday, November 29, 2012

Labour Haemorrhaging Votes to UKIP in Rotherham

Outside of the Leveson bubble there are some actual, real, political events also going on today. Perhaps most interestingly the by-election in Rotherham. Labour’s nerves are reaching a crescendo, and not just due to the prospect of the Homeland candidate splitting the left-wing vote. This morning Peter Watt warns that the party are losing votes to UKIP by the bucket full:

“UKIP will take votes from Labour as well as the Tories in Rotherham today…the assumption that UKIP is just a threat to the Tories is dangerous and the fact that the Rotherham foster-carers were former Labour voters is not really a surprise. The quicker we wake up to the fact that most voters are not like people who attend Labour party meetings the better.  Some of them even read the Daily Mail.”

While Harry Wallop notes in the Telegraph:

“Today, Rotherham goes to the polls in a parliamentary by-election. That all the talk is about Ukip rather than Labour, which has provided the town’s MP since 1933, is a remarkable turn of events…Despite the momentum, Ukip is still small, with a mere 19,000 members – the equivalent of just a few tables of pub drinkers in each constituency. But these sums appear to hold little truck in Rotherham, where the lack of jobs and prospects are the main concerns.”

UKIP’s price in Rotherham has come in to 8/1Guido reckons that Labour are still going to take their ‘safe seat’, but numbers are going to be very, very interesting…

Tuesday, November 27, 2012

Labour Orders Whole HQ to Rotherham

The pressure on Labour’s struggling Rotherham campaign has clearly not let up. Orders went out yesterday evening for HQ staff to completely decamp to the seat:

Where possible I want as many staff from our London head office to try and help in Rotherham. Given the distance, we are asking people to go up Wednesday, stay the night and be ready to get the vote out on Thursday.

Guido has a feeling that both the bookies and Labour are being over-cautious after the Bradford blindsiding, but the feedback on the ground can hardly be very positive if a broke party are pulling out every stop to try and retain what should be a very safe seat. All together now R-E-S-P-E-C-T…

Monday, November 26, 2012

Ross Kemp on Gangs: The Blairites

Join Ross Kemp as he travels to the mean streets of South London to meet ringleader of a notorious and radical gang known as ‘The Blairites’. Steve Reed is the name that strikes fear into the hearts of London residents, when he ran his extortion racket in Lambeth, nicknamed ‘The Council’, gang crime soared to record levels. Now he wants to expand his operation further south, taking on arch-rival Lee the Croy Don’ Jasper, fighting for control. Kemp hasn’t come face-to-face to such a dangerous figure since the last time he spoke to his ex-wife…

Panic on the Streets of Rotherham
Under Siege Candidate Pulls Out of BBC Hustings

Following Guido’s revelation earlier that Labour are diverting resources north to shore up their struggling Rotherham campaign, it now appears the wheels are really coming off. BBC Sheffield is reporting that their candidate has pulled out of tonight’s hustings.

Their correspondent James Vincent says Labour claim this has nothing to do with the council mess.

Of course not…

Labour Panicking About Rotherham
HQ Diverting Resources North

Labour insiders are getting nervous about Rotherham after this weekend’s Labour council omnishambles. With Respect’s Yvonne Ridley now at 5/1, Labour HQ are diverting resources from Croydon and Middlesbrough, fearing a Bradford style upset. All Labour politicians, staff and volunteers are being told to head to Rotherham instead of the other two constituencies. Buses are being laid on. Guido understands that Harriet Harman was meant to go campaign for Steve Reed in Croydon today, but is instead heading north. Sounds like they’ve been watching too much Homeland…

With Ladbrokes offering exactly the same price for Respect’s Lee Jasper upsetting Labour’s Steve Reed in Croydon, someone is going to get it in the neck if the upset falls there. Reed, a Marmite candidate from the start, is losing local support fast.

Friday, November 23, 2012

Express Yourself! Odds on Lee Jasper Win Shortening

Labour are getting sweaty palms in Croydon North. Ed was down there yesterday, Chuka’s there today and constituents have already had to endure the likes of David Lammy, Sadiq Khan and Diane Abbott.

With a 16,481 majority this should be a walk in the park for Labour, though unfortunately for them blunder-prone charisma-free Steve Reed is conceding ground to Respect candidate Lee Jasper. The musical Mancunian is causing a stir with the bookies, with his price coming in to 14/1. Steve Reed is still odds-on to win, but he is being he’s being made to work for it by the pincer movement of Respect and and the Tories.

Don’t forget, “Lee is a Muslim name”…

Friday, November 16, 2012

Breaking: LibDems Lose Deposit in Corby
UKIP Come Third as Labour Take Seat

In without a doubt the most amusing news of an otherwise dull by-election results day, the LibDems came fourteen votes short of keeping their deposit in Corby. The humiliation was complete after two recounts and heated discussions between the LibDems, the returning officer and an electoral commission official. UKIP came third as Labour won back Louise Mensch’s old seat. Mr Mozzarella got closer to the LibDems than the LibDems did to UKIP. They’re having a whip round for Clegg’s candidate…

Apathy All Round: The Stats So Far

The people have spoken, and the undoubted winner of last night’s by-elections and PCC plebiscites is the increasingly anti-politics Guidoisation of the British public. Here are the key stats so far:

  • Ed’s former deputy chief of staff Lucy Powell took Manchester Central with a turnout of 18.2%, the lowest turnout in a by-election since the Second World War.
  • The Tories lost their deposit, and only beat UKIP by five votes.
  • Almost 75% chose not to vote as Labour held Cardiff South.
  • Tory Angus MacPherson won the Wiltshire PCC election on a turnout of 15.8%.
  • Turnout in Coventry for the West Midlands PCC election was 10.9%.
  • Some polling stations have reported turnout as low as 3%.

Meanwhile UKIP’s odds in Corby have come in from 120/1 to 6/1 and Prezza is under pressure…

Wednesday, November 7, 2012

Vote Lee Jasper: The Ambient Musical Experience

The Guy Newsroom have had issues in the past with Lee Jasper, who is now the Respect candidate in Croydon North, but we love this:

Steve Reed, the cowardly Labour candidate, is worried about the fight. With the demographics of the seat, he is right to be: it’s perfect for a Respect upset.

Tuesday, November 6, 2012

Reed Refuses to Run Properly for Fear of Losing

Labour’s newly selected by-election candidate for Croydon North is clearly not very confident about his victory chances. Lambeth Council Leader Steve Reed has announced that he will not resign his position unless he wins the nearby seat. The hard-working people of Lambeth will be paying for Reed to campaign for the Labour Party rather than representing them.

Then again, anyone who has ever come across Steve and his work will know that campaigning for Labour rather than representing the people has always been his mantra – not least with his poster campaign against government cuts that was paid for at the expense of other local services. Facile largire de alieno…


Seen Elsewhere

Osborne’s Daycare Obsession is a Time Bomb | Kathy Gyngell
BBC Marr Pinko Trying to Ban the Queen | Speccie
Eric Hobsbawm: Companion of Dishonour | Standpoint
Guido Party Gossip | Iain Dale
Russell Brand Comes Out as 9/11 Truther | Guardian
Health Revolution is Underway | Fraser Nelson
UKIP Gets Professional | Red Box
Kelly Tolhurst Wins Rochester Open Primary | BBC
No.10 Ambushed by EU Prosperity Tax | Times
10 Years of Guido | Iain Dale
Tory MP Tells Leftie Jon Snow to Retire | Guardian


VOTER-RECALL
Find out more about PLMR


Rob Colvile reviews Russell Brand’s new book:

“Oddly, the person I feel sorriest for isn’t Brand himself – although he certainly comes across as a rather pitiable figure, projecting his own brokenness on to the world around him – but Johann Hari. Drummed out of Fleet Street for plagiarism, the former Independent columnist has washed up as “my mate Johann, who’s been doing research for this book”. For a genuinely talented polemicist, it would have been a humbling experience to have to treat this sub-undergraduate dross as the scintillating wisdom of a philosopher-king.”



Mycroft says:

Have you read the last bit of Animal Farm?

You know where the animals are looking through the Farmhouse window?

My TV screen was that window at lunch-time today.

Be careful, the sudden self-congratulatory tone, the slightly pudgy outline of indulgence and you become exactly what you should despise.

The jolly face of the Quisling Cameron poses for your camera has mesmerised and deceived you, you who were once not so deceived.

You were no firebrand, you were a damp squib in my opinion, sorry.

You need a damned good kick up the ahse!


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