Labour Ogmore By-Election Bunfight

Labour MP Huw Irranca-Davies is stepping down from parliament after 14 years to run in the Welsh Assembly elections in May. Guido has been passed the timetable for the selection process to find Labour’s candidate in his Ogmore seat:

  • Self-nomination deadline: February 1, 12 noon
  • Shortlisting interview with NEC in London: February 2
  • Selection meeting: February 13
  • Expected by-election date: May 5

The local Labour party is up in arms over the rushed selection process and the decision to host the short-listing interview in London. One source describes this as a “good old fashioned stitch up” and another as “an absolute disgrace”.

Who will be the new MP? Local councillor Ceri Reeves is the wife of Irranca-Davies’ election agent and has been canvassing members for weeks. Corbynista sources say she is “very anti-Corbyn” and blame her for promoting the rumour that the leader’s office was attempting to parachute left-wing ex-MP Katy Clark into the seat. Corbyn’s team say the rumour is untrue. Other local councillors are considering making a formal complaint to Corbyn about the situation. Whether Reeves secures the nomination is seen as a proxy for the battle between Corbyn and the PLP…

Could South Thanet’s Result Be Overturned?

Crick is alleging that the Tories smashed the spending limits in an effort to defeat Nigel Farage.  It was treated by CCHQ like a by-election.  Even if UKIP prove it, would the Electoral Commission do anything about it? 

UPDATE: A legal source reminds Guido

The South Thanet misspending a not an Electoral Commission matter. It is a police matter and a criminal offence under sections 81, 82 and 84 of the representation of the people act 1983. If only someone could get the police to take it seriously.

Botch-erby: Labour Lose Seat Corbyn Visited Last Month

Three weeks ago Jeremy Corbyn was up in Cumbria, visiting flooded properties in the village of Botcherby with his Shadow Environment Secretary Kerry McCarthy. They clearly made a lasting impression. In the first local by-election of 2016 yesterday, independent candidate Jack Paton gained the Botcherby seat from Labour with an 11% swing. Will the floodgates open on May 5?

UKIP Attack “Security Risk” Corbyn

This is the UKIP window poster being put up in homes ahead of the Oldham by-election. Do not approach…

UKIP’s No Answer Campaign in Oldham

Nigel Farage and John Bickley launched UKIP’s by-election campaign HQ up in Oldham this morning, telling potential voters to give them a ring on a freephone 0800 number. Yet if you call the number advertised, budding ‘Kippers are told: “The 0800 number you have dialled is unfortunately no longer available”. Amusingly this is the same hotline that Guido revealed has been disabled back in March this year after it was spammed by Hope Not Hate.

It’s a No campaign alright, no answer…

UPDATE: Hurrah! Since Guido’s story this morning, the number now appears to have been reactivated. Happy to have been of help…

UKIP Oldham West Runners and Riders

UKIP are already mobilising ahead of the Oldham West by-election. The party managed a respectable 21% there in May, though Michael Meacher leaves behind a formidable 14,000 majority. Guido gives you your runners and riders to be the UKIP candidate…

  • Paul Nuttall – UKIP’s deputy leader is the favourite. Nuttall has previously run in neighbouring Oldham East and is seen as the party candidate, “Nigel’s choice” as one senior figure puts it. Main drawback is he is a Scouser in a Manc area.
  • Mark Davies – A self-made businessman, free marketeer and ethnic minority candidate, Davies “has a great backstory” according to an ally. Ran in Manchester Withington in May so has experience, too.
  • Steven Woolfe – Another local and also a BME candidate, Woolfe came a decent third in Stockport in May. A long-time party spokesman whose face is well-known from TV, though he is currently recovering from recent serious surgery. The by-election may come too soon for him.
  • John Bickley – Fought for UKIP in the Wythenshawe by-election, Bickley is a self-made businessman and the son of a trade unionist. A key proponent of the Red UKIP ‘protect your benefits and the NHS’ strategy in the North. He is old-fashioned ex-Labour so could clean up if they choose a Corbynista candidate.
  • Louise Bours – Famously mouthy and a North-West MEP, Louise was surprisingly coy when Guido asked her if she fancied running: “Any decisions about Oldham will be made by the local branch in conjunction with the UKIP NEC.” Guido will take that as a yes.
  • Francis Arbour – The party’s candidate in May, where he finished a strongish second. Will feel he deserves another crack.

Guido understands there is a hustings at the weekend and the decision is imminent. They think they have a shot…

Rumour: Ed Balls to be Sent to Coventry?

Could Ed Balls soon be back in the Commons? There is a rumour going round that Labour’s veteran MP in Coventry North West, Geoffrey Robinson, who was at the centre of a huge internal row about whether he would stand down before the election, could quit and trigger a by-election:

Causing Labour councillors and members of the Coventry CLP to publicly discuss parachuting Balls in:

They don’t sound too keen…

Top May Ally Cleared: PASC Rules Tory SpAd Telecanvassing Was Unlawful

A report published today by the Public Administration Select Committee has found that CCHQ were wrong to ask Special Advisers to campaign for the party in the Rochester by-election. Theresa May’s SpAd Nick Timothy was dropped from the candidates list in a major internal Tory row after he argued that demands from Grant Shapps for SpAds to take part in telephone canvassing were against their Code of Conduct. The report finds:

“We therefore conclude that any direction to a Special Adviser to conduct telephone canvassing was misguided, and that advice that such a direction or such canvassing was permitted under their Code and contract of employment was wrong in law… We recommend that Special Advisers should never again be confronted with directions or informal pressure that puts them in breach of the Code and of their contracts of employment.”

Will the Tories now reinstate Timothy to the candidates list after this key ruling?

UPDATE: Labour’s Jon Ashworth sticks the boot in:

“The Parliamentary Authorities have delivered a damning assessment of the Number 10 operation, and we now need to know which Ministers were complicit in issuing this ‘misguided’ advice. Given the proximity of the election campaign, we need a formal government response today which outlines how Number 10 will ensure no rules will be broken over the role played by Special Advisers.”

Greens Slump to Third in Natalie Bennett’s Own Ward

Not the sort of news you want on the eve of your spring conference. In the St Pancras and Somers Town council by-election last night – the ward in Natalie Bennett’s target constituency in which she lives – the Green […]

+ READ MORE +

Jittery UKIP Back on Track in Thurrock

UKIP MEP, policy chief and Thurrock parliamentary candidate Tim Aker has added councillor to list of his many jobs, last night winning the Aveley & Uplands by-election. UKIP were jittery amid concerns they would lose yesterday given they were thumped […]

+ READ MORE +

UKIP GAIN: Reckless Wins Rochester

[…]

+ READ MORE +

Good Morning, It’s By-Election Day!

The polls are open in Rochester and Strood. Mark Reckless is promising fireworks if he wins:

“During the campaign I have spoken with two Conservative MPs about the possibility of their moving over and I think they will want to

[…]

+ READ MORE +



Tip offs: 0709 284 0531
team@Order-order.com

Quote of the Day

Tim Farron is asked by GQ how he will be remembered:

“I won’t be. So there’s no point in worrying about how you’d like to be remembered at all.”

Top Posts This Week

Guidogram: Sign up

Subscribe to the most succinct 7 days a week daily email read by thousands of Westminster insiders.

Facebook

EU CABINET GUIDE: WHITTO MOVES UP, GOVE TORN EU CABINET GUIDE: WHITTO MOVES UP, GOVE TORN
PROTESTER CHUCKS DILDO AT MINISTER PROTESTER CHUCKS DILDO AT MINISTER
LEAVE 9 POINTS AHEAD SINCE DAVE’S DEAL LEAVE 9 POINTS AHEAD SINCE DAVE’S DEAL
VENEZUELA FORCED TO FLY IN PLANELOADS OF CASH VENEZUELA FORCED TO FLY IN PLANELOADS OF CASH
SILLY SAUSAGE: TORY MP’S COMMONS DOUBLE ENTENDRE SILLY SAUSAGE: TORY MP’S COMMONS DOUBLE ENTENDRE
SRAELI EX-AMBASSADOR ‘LATE NIGHT VISITS’ SCANDAL BREWING SRAELI EX-AMBASSADOR ‘LATE NIGHT VISITS’ SCANDAL BREWING
UKIP WARNS OF RISK OF TURKEY JOINING EU UKIP WARNS OF RISK OF TURKEY JOINING EU
HIGHEST-EARNING MP DIDN’T NOTICE £400,000 INCOME HIGHEST-EARNING MP DIDN’T NOTICE £400,000 INCOME
BORIS’ NEW BALDNESS-BATTLING BARNET BORIS’ NEW BALDNESS-BATTLING BARNET
GUIDO’S FASHION TIPS: GET THE GRASSROOTS OUT UNIFORM GUIDO’S FASHION TIPS: GET THE GRASSROOTS OUT UNIFORM
BORIS AND FARAGE PAN DAVE’S RED CARD BORIS AND FARAGE PAN DAVE’S RED CARD
WHEN CAMERON AND OSBORNE LAUGHED AT A ‘RED CARD’ WHEN CAMERON AND OSBORNE LAUGHED AT A ‘RED CARD’
SADIQ DUCKS CITY AIRPORT ROW SADIQ DUCKS CITY AIRPORT ROW
DIRE POST-DEAL PAPERS FOR PM DIRE POST-DEAL PAPERS FOR PM
FABBERS’ VOMIT-INDUCING EUROPHILES REVEALED FABBERS’ VOMIT-INDUCING EUROPHILES REVEALED
UNION BARON: “ALL THE TORIES ARE AN ABSOLUTE DISGRACE, THEY SHOULD BE TAKEN OUT AND SHOT” UNION BARON: “ALL THE TORIES ARE AN ABSOLUTE DISGRACE, THEY SHOULD BE TAKEN OUT AND SHOT”
STELLA THE ‘HASH SMOKING MOROCCAN TOURIST’ STELLA THE ‘HASH SMOKING MOROCCAN TOURIST’
CORBYN BROTHER’S BIZARRE RESPONSE TO DEATH OF MAN AND 4 YEAR OLD SON: “LOL” CORBYN BROTHER’S BIZARRE RESPONSE TO DEATH OF MAN AND 4 YEAR OLD SON: “LOL”
BORIS: DAVE’S DEAL NOT GOOD ENOUGH BORIS: DAVE’S DEAL NOT GOOD ENOUGH
9 SPECIFIC DEMANDS DAVE WANTED FROM BRUSSELS 9 SPECIFIC DEMANDS DAVE WANTED FROM BRUSSELS
CRUZ TRUMPS THE DONALD IN IOWA CRUZ TRUMPS THE DONALD IN IOWA
Crowdfunding “Brexit the Movie” Crowdfunding “Brexit the Movie”
CORBYN SURGES AHEAD OF FOOT CORBYN SURGES AHEAD OF FOOT
HOW FRIENDS OF THE EARTH DODGE CHARITY REGULATIONS HOW FRIENDS OF THE EARTH DODGE CHARITY REGULATIONS
CORBYN AIDE: I THINK WE SHOULD SHOOT WOODCOCK CORBYN AIDE: I THINK WE SHOULD SHOOT WOODCOCK
TEQUILA SCAMMERS: LANSMAN’S LATE NIGHT SECRET ELECTION TEQUILA SCAMMERS: LANSMAN’S LATE NIGHT SECRET ELECTION
Comments & Readership Comments & Readership
MCDONNELL’S PARTIALLY PUBLISHED TAX RETURN MCDONNELL’S PARTIALLY PUBLISHED TAX RETURN
COCKNEY DONALD TRUMP COCKNEY DONALD TRUMP