Thursday, August 21, 2008

Why Did Tim Parker Really Quit Team Boris?

Tim Parker surprisingly resigned as head of Transport For London and deputy mayor. The spin was something about Boris needing to take on this important job as he was elected to sort out London’s tranpsort system. Obviously bollocks.
They knew all that when Boris appointed him. Parker said when he started in June: “Throughout my business career I have been accountable to exacting shareholders. In my new role, my shareholders will be the taxpayers of London.” He took a symbolic £1 in pay. 24 hours after he quit TFL and TubeLines caved in to a ludicrous London Underground pay deal. Hence the RMT’s Crowe cancelling the strike. Do you think that perhaps Parker, a famous cost cutter, quit for this reason? Can it be a coincidence? Could Boris have hoisted the white flag because he was petrified of “Tory Cuts” rhetoric?

Saturday, July 5, 2008

Boris Loses Another Adviser

If you are going to stand for public office, don’t lie about your CV. With questions already hanging over him Ray Lewis made an exaggerated claim that he was a Justice of the Peace rather than merely approved to be a Justice of the Peace. In the context of questions about his probity, that was a fatal untruth.

Boris supporters talk darkly of a dirt digging campaign by supporters of Socialist Action, the far left clique that surrounded Ken. Guido has no idea if there is any truth in it, nor does he think the information source to be relevant. If Ray Lewis was completely straight and honest, there would have been no need to resign. Politicians are put in positions of trust, past misdemeanours don’t necessarily disqualify a reformed individual from public office. Lying in the present does.

UPDATE : A co-conspirator points out that this week’s Time Out London quotes Ken Livingstone as saying he “rates Lewis as ‘imaginative’, and says he wishes he’d got him on board.” Boris wasn’t the only one mislead clearly…

Tuesday, June 3, 2008

The Crosby Effect Mapped

That was one successful strategy. Ken’s voters are under siege…

Hat-tip : Vote 2007

Thursday, May 15, 2008

Boris Hasn’t Got the Trots

Over at Harry’s Place and elsewhere on the left-wing blogosphere they are hyperventilating about the appointment of Munira Mirza, who has been hired by Boris to be his race relations adviser, to the consternation of many on both the left and the right. Some on the left claimed she was a member or a former member of the RCP sect. As did some on the right.

So Guido asked Munira -

“Are you now or have you ever been a member of the Revolutionary Communist Party?”
She quickly pointed out to Guido “I think the RCP was disbanded while I was still at school. I wasn’t a member.” Doh!

Guido has just got off the phone with Joe Derrett, who works in the Mayor’s press office – for now – he has for some years handled press requests for interviews with the Mayor. Guido asked him if he was “surprised to still have a job?” “Why?” he said defensively. “Aren’t you the former London Regional Labour Party Press Officer?” “Errr, I’ve got to go to a meeting.” he claimed. Somehow Guido suspects Joe won’t be in tune with the new order at City Hall for long…

Wednesday, May 7, 2008

The First Days of Mayor Boris

It got off to a good start with the police making good on his tough crime stance promise – shooting a drunk gun toting lawyer. However this banning of drink on public transport* has Guido worried (for one reason and another). Will hip-flasks be confiscated?

Will we be able to travel intoxicated, will one be able travel with bottles of booze? What are the mechanics of this? Guido may have to resort to Cameroon style transport arrangements in London – cycling one-handed while swigging from a jug of Pimms. Oh, hold on…
The thing is Boris, if you go to Beijing to hob-nob with Tibet’s oppressors (and don’t send the right signals) as well as getting all authoritarian in your first week with the G&T swilling classes on the long march to Zone 6, we will remember your treachery come 2012. This may be the most rapid disillusionment with a politician ever…

*Pretty sure that Guido was served alcohol on public river transport between Westminster and Canary Wharf one evening. It was pretty civilised for public transport. Is that to be banned?

Sunday, May 4, 2008

Why Guido Backed Boris

Guido’s old friend Harry Phibbs can claim to be the first person to promote the idea of Mayor Boris Johnson. The Hammersmith councillor and Evening Standard diarist first posited Boris running in January 2007 on the Social Affairs Unit’s blog.

Guido thought it an inspired idea and posted a comment in reply:

Draft Boris, this is a tele-democracy, he is a performer. He will crucify Ken.

For what it was worth Guido then did everything in his power to encourage Boris to run. Guido made the succint case for Boris ten days before Tory nominations for Mayor closed. Here was the argument for Boris winning on psephological grounds. Guido’s July 2007 poll that showed 83% of Guido’s readers wanted Boris to run was unscientific but encouraging for him.
It was Guido who set up the “I’m Backing Boris” Facebook group which gained over a thousand supporters in the days before he announced he was running – and was actually taken over by the Boris campaign team when he formally announced he was running.

“How much influence do bloggers and the internet have in politics?” is a question Guido is often asked. My reply is that we only have influence over politicians, journalists and thus the climate of ideas. We don’t have any influence over the voting general public except through that opinion leading influence. Guido set out last July to encourage one political journalist to seize the moment, if Guido succeeded in that objective, his mission was accomplished.

Back Boris for a Greater LondonSome co-conspirators have suggested that Guido compromised his USP and libertarian principles in backing a politician’s bid for power – the first time this blog has endorsed a politician. Well Guido has hated Ken Livingstone’s brand of municipal socialism for decades, at one point it looked possible the Tories would again choose Steve Norris to lose to Ken again – that was not a prospect Guido welcomed. Boris has admirable libertarian-conservative instincts and is a refreshingly direct politician who speaks his mind. In a personal note to Guido after he won the Conservative nomination, Boris indicated that the admiration is mutual. So with an opportunity to encourage someone like-minded to lead London, it would have been churlish to remain aloof from the affray.

Boris as mayor will also hopefully provide Guido with lots of fun material…

Friday, May 2, 2008

London is Officially Liberated

Twinned with Edinburgh

+++ Paddy Power Pays Out Bets on Boris +++

According to Mike Smithson over on Politicalbetting.com.

Good Morning London

Twinned with Edinburgh

Thursday, May 1, 2008

Ipsos-Mori V YouGov

Today will be the day where YouGov makes or breaks its reputation. YouGov alone is predicting victory for Boris – the rest of the major pollsters go for Ken by slim margins. Last night it looked to Guido like Ipsos-Mori were in CYA* mode, posting comments on PoliticalBetting.Com nuancing their position. Punters believe and trust YouGov…

Mori in the past have spun bad calls with “last minute surge” lines. Expect more of the same…


*Cover Your Ass


Seen Elsewhere

Labour’s Plan to Attack Part-Time Boris | Standard
Ex-Sun Hack Cleared After 582 Days on Bail | MediaGuido
11 Times Boris Denied He Would Stand for Parliament | Buzzfeed
Attacking UKIP’s Posters is Counter-Productive | Guardian
Sarkozy Tried it on With Hollande’s Ex | Times
Another Spare Room Subsidy Cut Success | Harry Phibbs
Rich Now Have Less Leisure Than Poor | Economist
UKIP’s Immigration Policy Promotes Migrant Entrepreneurs | Breitbart
Another Feminist Lecture | Laura Perrins
UKIP Posters Bad Economics But Good Politics | James Delingpole
Tories Losing to UKIP in Scotland | ConHome


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A confused Nick Griffin says Nigel Farage is a shill for the City, forgetting that City banks want to stay in the EU:

“Farage is a snake oil salesman, but a very good one. His supposed anti-immigration stance is all smoke and mirrors, as is his carefully cultivated image as a ‘man of the people’. The truth is that UKIP is a pro-immigration party that exists to lobby for the interests of the City of London.”



Alexrod says:

It’s money innit.


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