Will it be the only thing he wins today?
The polling evidence and anecdotal reports from the doorstep suggesting the need for Miliband to do a deal with the SNP is getting cut through to voters has got Tory morale up. Miliband’s claims that he won’t do a deal are widely disbelieved, because voters can see from the polls that would mean he would not be going to Downing Street. Betting on the Tories being the biggest party gets you a 20% return on your money by Friday down at Ladbrokes…
Back in 2012 renowned political soothsayer Dan Hodges made this now infamous vow:
We’ll be counting down until the event, presumably taking place anytime from Friday, May 8 onwards.
Guido also has a bet on with Dan that Douglas Carswell will be re-elected. Safe.
If UKIP poll above 6% in ten days’ time, there are going to be a lot of confused tourists in Westminster…
Given the polls are all over the place and the pundits are running out of ways to say that they have no idea what is actually going to happen, we’re left to follow the money. Bet2015 shows the live betting odds in each seat and which ones are going to change hands, as well as projecting the national picture based on the insight from the turf accountants. Right now it’s showing a dead heat between the Tories and Labour:
You might recognise at least half of those behind the site:
Bookies think Reckless will lose, that the polls are overestimating the SNP and the Liberals won’t be completely screwed. Track it here.
As Clegg decides what he is going to wear for his speech at 1pm, Paddy Power have slashed the odds on him to announce he will quit as LibDem leader before the election:
This comes on the back of an element of stirring last night:
If you reckon he’s got a very big rabbit coming this afternoon you can put your money where your mouth is here…
Guido feels he had a bit of an unfair edge in the Demos / DeHavilland fantasy politics conference season game when it came to the “biggest own goal of conference season” category. Still it’s not over yet, even if hardly anyone is going to LibDem conference…
You might have thought Environment Agency boss Chris Smith would be concentrating on the floods but no, today he is busy with his other far more important quango job in charge of the Advertising Standards Authority. Smith’s censorious bunch of […]
Dave’s New Year message is essentially “The plan is working… Our recovery is real, but it’s also fragile, and there are more difficult decisions ahead” translation: more cuts coming. Electing the two Eds into government would mean their “economic madness […]