Ken Predicts McDonnell Will Be Next Labour Leader

In another bizarre intervention Ken Livingstone has predicted on Putin’s Russia Today that John McDonnell will succeed Jeremy Corbyn should the Labour leader have a stroke or get “pushed under a bus driven by Boris Johnson”Well at least it won’t be a bendy bus…

Coincidently Guido has £1,000 riding on McDonnell being next Labour leader. No rush…

Biden Back in the Race?

Sponsored Postoinb

Biden his time? How Joe is back in the race for the Democratic nomination (but Paddy Power could get tanked by Trump).

Paddy Power politics trader Stephanie Anderson reveals the state of the latest betting and says that Donald Trump is now the worst result in the book for Paddy Power…

Read more on the Paddy Power Blog.

Dan Explains His Streak

Hodges “Streaks” Down Whitehall

The going was wet and it was a dark dawn for the “Dan Hodges Streak Down Whitehall Charity Stakes”, the forfeit for having lost his bet that UKIP would get less than 6% of the vote in the general election:

Ladbrokes were there and took £20 from Guido that he would not complete at 25/1:

There was a bit of a “Stewards Inquiry” given there was no sign of either a Farage mask or promised Hodges’ bare arse…

Despite Hodges refusing to sing “Land of Hope and Glory” at the finish, Guido paid up anyway and it was £20 to Elizabeth’s Legacy of Hope to add to another £100 bet that Hodges lost to Guido – 243 days ago. Hodges promises he is giving that betting loss to the charity as well… 

Sadiq’s Each Way Bet

SADIQ-GAMBLINGSadiq Khan is trying to make an issue of Zac’s stake in bookmakers Fitzdares – as disclosed in his register of interests ever since he became an MP. The claim being that Zac’s interest in gambling makes him unsuitable to be mayor of a city where the number of betting shops on our high streets has become a political issue. Unfortunately anti-gambling Sadiq previously voted to introduce super casinos to the UK’s cities… 

Sadiq is currently 4/5 favourite by a sliver at the bookies over Zac at 11/10. Guido recommends you hold on to your money for now, those odds could change… 

Exit Europe Now Favourite With Bookies

Capture

… By ‘Exit Europe’ Guido is of course referring to the horse running the 17:40 at Kempton Park tonight, which is the favourite at odds of 11/2. Eagle-eyed readers will have spotted his trainer and owner is none other than UKIP treasurer Andrew Reid. Stay tuned for the result…

UPDATE: He’s only gone and won it. One member of the Guy Newsroom is very happy having cleaned up. A good omen for Brexit?

UPDATE II: Here’s the action replay:

To any readers who had a punt on Guido’s tip, drinks on you…

Voting Has Now Closed, Betting Remains Open

corbyn-bets

Guido managed to reverse his bets on Corbyn in time and now stands to profit if #JezWeCan turns into #JezWeDid. Though it might be a little more expensive if Harriet Harman is brought back out of retirement. Andy Fandies have been telling Guido to back him at 2/1, 7/1, 10/1… well he’s now the 15/1 long shot…  

Race for Second Place

RACE-FOR-SECOND-PLACE

Most Labour MPs are looking forward to their new quasi-Marxist overlord being installed when they return from their holidays. Apart that is from those involved in the campaign teams for Andy Burnham and Yvette Cooper. They still publicly cling on to the the hope that the bookies and pollsters are wrong. Again.

More likely their battle is for second place. The arguments for Yvette are that she will get most of Kendall’s second preferences and that Burnham has lost left-wing support to Corbyn so may come third on first preferences. Meaning she will pick-up all the anti-Corbyn votes when Burnham is eliminated. Assuming there are actually enough…

“No chance” say Burnham insiders. Most of Liz’s big supporters have declared for Andy – there are rumours that the likes of John Woodcock* – despite having branded Andy “Continuity Miliband” – have been promised Shadow Cabinet jobs for support. One Burnham supporter told Guido

Yvette’s consistently third in Jeremy’s, Andy’s and Liz’s voter ID. That’s why she looks so desperate. Yvette will finish third but her votes will end up selecting the winner. Just like her husband did in 2010. Yvette, by bitching and bullying the other candidates, has nowhere to go. Soft Corbyn supporters won’t go to her because she slagged him off and she’ll get little from Andy’s supporters. Liz votes is all she can get and she won’t get enough to overtake Andy. Our strategy all along was to be respectful of the members choice. OK he’s flipped a bit but he’s mostly stuck to it. He’s still worth a flutter at 4-1…

Not sure Guido would recommend that bet…

UPDATE: Kendall supporter hits back “the reason Liz backers are second preferencing Andy is nothing to do with promise of Shadow Cabinet jobs. It’s because of all the smears from Roger Baker and Luke Holland on Yvette’s campaign. Childlessness, adultery etc. they’d rather vote for flip floppy Andy who is a nice guy than nasty Brownite machine Yvette.”

*Denied.

Punters Say #JezWeCan

It is happening…

UPDATE: Ladbrokes odds:

Jeremy Corbyn 10/11
Andy Burnham 2/1
Yvette Cooper 11/4
Liz Kendall 50/1

[…]

+ READ MORE +

Conflicted Over Corbyn

lay-corbyn

Guido is conflicted. On the one hand, a Labour Party led by Comrade Corbyn would be a source of much merriment and material. On on the other hand, believing that the majority of the Labour rank and file have not […]

+ READ MORE +

Cooper Now Ahead of Burnham Again

lab-dex

Yvette seems to have decided to shift her rhetoric leftwards and become the no-change candidate, re-endorsing the 50p tax rate, aspiration-crushing Mansion taxes and even arguing against the £23,000 benefits cap for Londoners – despite there being plenty of jobs […]

+ READ MORE +

Happy Warrior Wins!

The 3:35 at Newton Abbot:

Will it be the only thing he wins today?[…]

+ READ MORE +



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Quote of the Day

Liam Fox shreds Cameron’s Calais scaremongering:

“Sad and disappointed to see our Prime Minister stoop to this level of scaremongering, especially as he knows the Calais agreement is nothing to do with the EU and agreed between the two govts”

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