What are the New Labour high command worried about? They are as Campbell says home and dry, 1 in 10 voters swinging to the LibDems will not let the Tories in, perhaps 1 in 3 voters switching might do it, but that would be the biggest upset since Churchill lost.

So is it getting a sub-100 majority that they fear? Yes, that would make life complicated, but not insurmountable. It would make it difficult for the Blairites to push through the choice agenda. A good enough reason for conscientious Labour lefties to stay at home methinks, even ignoring Iraq.

What really worries Blair, Milburn and Campbell is not losing the election, that is not possible – unless Blair is caught on video in bed with Michael Jackson and an underage monkey going backwards not forwards. No, what really worries the Blairites is the Al Gore scenario, which is not so implausible. Whereas the first past the post system so favours Labour that they can’t really lose in terms of seats, they could still lose in terms of the percentage of the popular vote.

If enough Labour voters stay at home or switch to the Liberals, the Tories might realistically get a bigger percentage of the popular vote (assuming they have got their own vote out with a combination of dog whistle issues and a popular desire to wipe the smirk off Blair’s face.)

The Tories could get 32% of the vote, Labour 31% and the LibDems 25%. Leaving Blair arguably with no popular mandate, but a working majority of 60+ seats. Its not that far-fetched, Howard would scream blue murder, Blair would have to resign in favour of Brown.

Gorgeous Georges’ muslim missus is giving him the elbow for cheating on him. That’ll swing the muslim vote.

Bookies reckon Oona will win Bethnal Green, which is a shame. Oona is a Blairite clone who has backed Blair in 99.5% of parliamentary votes. Gorgeous George is a clown who would enliven parliament and add to the gaiety of the nation. C’mon you mullahs, get the muliple votes out.

Well we know the depressing outcome for Thursday – Labour is a sure win according to Paddy Power.

So lets move on to the post election battles. Will the Labour left move against Blair? Will Howard hang on? Guido hears lots of gossip along the lines that with a much weakened majority, the Labour left will be emboldened to try and force Blair’s resignation or early retirement. Guido can’t see it happening without him putting up a fight, he wants to outdo Thatcher in longevity, possibly to have a shot at becoming EU President after dragging Britain into the euro. Guido reckons that health and majority allowing, Blair will do an Aznar – near the end of his term he’ll resign as party leader whilst remaining as PM. Labour will anoint its chosen one to lead the PLP, and to fight the following election.

This assumes a workable majority, there is the LibDem wet-dream of Blair having to rely on their votes to contemplate. That would alter the dynamics and all bets would be off.

The Tories are already starting to jockey for position; David Davis is probably the front runner in the parliamentary party, the over-rated Dr Fox looks vain enough to throw his hat in the ring as well, Letwin might stand despite being a disaster with the voters, the younger Notting Hill set are not yet ready, some talk that Alan Duncan might throw his cap in the ring as well on behalf of the libertarian wing. In a situation like this, who knows? Hague might be drafted back by a repentant parliamentary party that in some quarters regrets dispensing with him. If Howard pulls the Tories above 200 seats its possible he will hold on as a caretaker leader for a year or two hoping to make way for his protege, David Cameron. Guido hears the same piece of gossip over and over again about a David Davis’ skeleton in the closet, if true it may mean his leadership ambitions will be unfulfilled.

The Tory party after losing an election tends to behave with the discipline of a bag of cats, but surely the best thing for them is to hold their nerve, take a deep breath and get back to work. For all Howard’s faults, he has brought back a sense of purpose and some party discipline, allowing him to remain leader might be a wise course. Guido reckons he will break 200 seats, which is a fair result in the face of the Clintonesque political mastery of Blair and the resurgent LibDems. If Blair’s legacy to Brown is a double-digit majority it could result in him being a lame duck PM – one Labour candidate told me that in the event of the Tories winning the popular vote (the majority of votes actual votes cast, not seats) the Tories would be able to claim with some justification that Blair has no mandate. Brown would be tempted to push for the leadership and call another election. The candidate fantasised about a Brown led party being resurgent at the polls, oblivious to the reality that Brown is about as popular in England as haggis for breakfast.

“You have to sit on the phone for three hours in the morning trying to get an appointment because you are not allowed to ask for the appointment before that, because by making it 48 hours beforehand they are missing the Government target.” Mrs Church wasn’t the only source of trouble for Mr Blair, as the programme went off air part of the audience started chanting “Tony Blair – Liar” whilst Blair tried to placate them with security guards getting nervous enough to whisk him out the side exit.

This part of the blogosphere never shirks from covering the issues that really matter in this campaign, so once again Guido returns to the issue of the schoolkids booing Blair at the Lillian Bayliss School’s education campaign launch. Much argument centres on whether it was booing or as New Labour spins – “booming”. The video suggests that not only was there booing, but jeering and wolf whistles. Yet many comments on previous posts seem to be Blairites who are in denial.

A source close to those booing schoolchildren tells me they also sang: ‘Mr Blair, we don’t care, you’re wearing Cherie’s underwear’ until they were made to stop. Spin on that…