Guido put these bets on at William Hill on October 4, last year, shortly after the Labour Party conference. Now the odds are much shorter with Tom Watson 7/2 and John McDonnell 7/1. Place your bets…
As Jez once tweeted, “Here we, here we, here we f**king go”…
Late last night EyeSpy.MP spotted that the Prince Across the Water was back across the water:
UPDATE II: John McDonnell tells Andrew Neil the membership will be mobilised behind the programme. Note that he doesn’t say mobilised behind Corbyn. McDonnell’s rhetorical support for Corbyn conflicts with his manifest ambitions. Under pressure from Brillo he says he won’t stand for leader even if Corbyn falls. A politician’s promise…
UPDATE III: A senior Labour MP texts: “McDonnell lying through teeth. Seema [Malhotra] and others been calling for him in last 24h.” Tom Blenkinsop suggests McDonnell has been ringing round himself to canvass for support.
This is where the potential Tory leadership contenders stand this morning:
So, who are you backing?
Tom Steinberg is one of those internet gurus who actually does interesting and useful things and he is really on to something with his fears about the filter bubble:
I am actively searching through Facebook for people celebrating the Brexit leave victory, but the filter bubble is SO strong, and extends SO far into things like Facebook’s custom search that I can’t find anyone who is happy despite the fact that over half the country is clearly jubilant today and despite the fact that I’m *actively* looking to hear what they are saying.
This echo-chamber problem is now SO severe and SO chronic that I can only only beg any friends I have who actually work for Facebook and other major social media and technology to urgently tell their leaders that to not act on this problem now is tantamount to actively supporting and funding the tearing apart of the fabric of our societies. Just because they aren’t like anarchists or terrorists – they’re not doing the tearing apart on purpose – is no excuse – the effect is the same, we’re getting countries where one half just doesn’t know anything at all about the other.
It’s in the power of people like Mark Zuckerberg to do something about this, if they’re strong enough and wise enough to swap a little shareholder value for the welfare of whole nations, and the world as a whole.
Filter bubbles exist outside social media, Guido noticed that during the 2008 Ken v Boris campaign private car owners didn’t know anyone who was going to vote for Ken and those who solely relied on public transport were almost the reverse, they didn’t know anyone who was going to vote for Boris. That was a function of income to some degree. People associate with people like themselves in real life. As our information sources become ever more filtered and self-socialised this will mean that we live in our own social media echo chambers.
It seems that after every major political event people who have been living in a filtered world find it difficult to believe that their opponents won. Because we’re living in our own filter bubbles.
This is even more pronounced on the left because so many of them never read right-leaning media, whereas those of us on the right are more used to reading The Guardian, watching Channel 4 News, Newsnight et al. Is this a significant social problem? Or does it just mean that after elections the losers will be unpleasantly surprised?
See also Dr Max Wilson on the subject:
Delusional David Lammy has said parliament should ignore the referendum result and vote to Remain in the EU anyway:
“Wake up. We do not have to do this. We can stop this madness and bring this nightmare to an end through a vote in parliament. Our sovereign parliament needs to now vote on whether we should exit the EU.
The referendum was an advisory, non-binding referendum. The Leave campaign’s platform has already unravelled and some people wish they hadn’t voted Leave. Parliament now needs to decide whether we should go forward with Brexit, and there should be a vote in parliament next week. Let us not destroy our economy on the basis of the lies and hubris of Boris Johnson.”
A Labour MP effectively telling millions of working class Labour voters across the country he doesn’t care what they think…
This week 327,588 visitors visited 830,557 times viewing 1,372,817 pages. The top stories in order of popularity were:
You’re either in front of Guido, or behind…
That Eddie Izzard campaign record in full:
The lip-sticked kiss of death strikes again…
The BBC reports Margaret Hodge and Ann Coffey have tabled a no confidence motion in Jeremy Corbyn, which could be voted on on Tuesday night. The PLP might be able to topple him but how will they win round the membership? The problem with Blairites organising a putsch against Jez is they were the ones out of touch with Labour voters…
Boris Johnson 4/5
Theresa May 3/1
Michael Gove 5/1
Andrea Leadsom 10/1
Stephen Crabb 16/1
Priti Patel 16/1
George Osborne 16/1
Sajid Javid 20/1
Dominic Raab 20/1
Philip Hammond 20/1
Liam Fox 25/1
Amber Rudd 25/1
Ruth Davidson 25/1
These are the initial next PM odds via Ladbrokes. Meanwhile “friends of” dripping Europhile Nicky Morgan have told Sky she is “taking soundings”, which is a laugh. Several of the above names can immediately be discounted. Boris presser at 11am…
Here is the situation with Labour as of 9:30am. Corbyn is “definitely” facing a live plot to remove him as leader – the Shadow Cabinet meets at 10am where it is possible Shadow ministers will tell him to resign or threaten to resign themselves. Labour MPs are putting heavy pressure on Shadow ministers to man up and tell him to go immediately. Shadow Cabinet members are spreading rumours that Corbyn and McDonnell personally voted to Leave…
There are rumours of a letter of no confidence in circulation, though it has yet to reach some moderates Guido has spoken to. That could take a few days to come to fruition. Angela Eagle, a possible successor, has dodged questions about whether Corbyn should resign. John McDonnell is named as either being “behind” moves against Corbyn or as a potential successor. McDonnell’s team, including his top aide James Meadway, were in Portcullis House this morning where they were described as jubilant by a witness. Sadiq Khan is meeting Labour MPs in parliament too. Could a second party leader be out this weekend?
An emotional Cameron announces he will stand down, new leader in place by October…
These are the lines sent to Labour MPs by party spin doctors this morning:
Referendum 0600 script
Clearly many communities across our country feel left behind and cut off by the political establishment in Brussels and Westminster. This was a rejection of the status quo by millions of people who are not sharing in the wealth of this country, for whom the economy is not working.