LabourVision.TV launches today – a crowd sourced effort to produce an online anti-party, anti-political election broadcast. Details revealed later as to how your home made video can be part of Gordon – the Disaster Movie premiering on May Day. The bar is high. Come back tomorrow…
The Labour Party were spinning earlier that as soon as the allegations about their disgraced PPC John Cowan emerged he was suspended: ‘The allegations that came to light after nominations closed are totally unacceptable and well below what the party expects of our candidates.”
Came to light “after nominations closed“? That is just not true.
Social media guru and Twitter Tsar Kerry McCarthy, a Labour MP no less, was tipped off about Cowan’s dodgy online behaviour over three months ago. Here is the tip-off email (verbatim):
From: █████ █████ <████████████@gmail.com>
Date: 12 February 2010 21:20
Subject: Private and Confidential and off the record
My name is █████ █████ and I work in the motorsports industry. I represent drivers, teams, and component suppliers in the motorsport industry. I believe you like a couple of friends have suffered from being stalked by a certain John Cowan. Both the girls I know that I know are racing drivers who raced from an early age. I became aware of ████’s problems with Cowan when we were at Brands Hatch for a race. ████ had run out of finances and had hired her car to a driver who I was coaching. Her father was engineering the car. All was fine until I noticed that ████ and her Dad looked a bit woried. When I enquired what was wrong; her father pointed out John Cowan standing by the car and told me of the trouble that ████ had receiving lude emails. I asked Cowan to leave and not bother ████ or my driver again.
Until this was mentioned I had just assumed he was a ‘harmless’ idiot that lived in a dreamworld. I am afraid motor racing attracts these type of fools as does politics. Since then I have found out ████ is not the only female racing driver that has had problems with Cowan. And now I am reliably informed that you yourself have had problems with this man.
I am now horrified to find out that he is standing for Parliament in South Cambridgeshire and I am supprised he was even picked as a candidate with a false CV!
It has now been bought to our attention you have been pestered by this man; I don’t believe in this age that he should be anywhere near public office. Can he be removed as candidate before he can do any real damage?
I llok forward to your reply.
So what did Kerry McCarthy do next…
George Osborne this afternoon is trying to convince us that a hung parliament will mean higher interest rates as investors panic and the gilt market plunges. Guido begs to differ, arguing that if on May 7 the Tories went into a “Change Coalition“ with the LibDems – the only party with a leader that admits we need “savage spending cuts”, when the Tories and Labour are being disingenuous in pretending otherwise – the City wouldn’t have a problem.
The hard evidence is clear; since the prospects of a hung parliament jumped after the first TV debate (the bookies now make it an odds on 64% probability) both the pound and the gilt market have rallied. Why? Well the City was worried about Labour being returned and kamikaze economics being implemented by Chancellor Balls. A Lib-Con “Change Coalition“ government with both parties committed to public spending cuts and rapid deficit reduction will actually cheer the City. Here’s the evidence so far:
The left hand chart is the probability of a hung parliament based on gambler’s bets, the middle chart is the gilt futures price and the right hand chart is the pound against the dollar. Osborne just quoted a number of investment banking analyst’s old notes, RBS capital markets analysis this morning concurs with Guido’s analysis:
Weekend press good for Gilts: a) talking up the Liberal Democrats right wing credentials and how they form more coalitions with Conservatives than Labour in councils, so allegedly not that Budget-negative/sclerosis if Con-Lib coalition, which is most likely outcome at this moment according to pollsters; b) polls shift 1-2% back to where they were pre-debates.
Osborne needs to switch on his Bloomberg terminal for a reality check, gilts are now yielding less than 4%, City confidence has risen as Labour’s polling figures have fallen…
Tom Newton Dunn, political editor of the Sun, apparently said…
“It is my job to see that Cameron f***ing well gets into Downing Street”
Guido has been racking his brain for an explanation into the thinking behind the Elvis support act for Gordon. Here are my top conspiracy theories:
- Gordon is living out a Richard Nixon fantasy, he seems himself as a man of substance and policy, like Nixon, facing defeat at the hands of more photogenic and televisual opponents, with Clegg and Cameron playing the role of Kennedy. So since Nixon and Presley were mates…
- Benjamin Wegg-Prosser has a £500 bet with Mandelson on who can succeed in making Gordon look the most ridiculous during the campaign. Still 10 days to go so Mandelson is not paying up just yet.
- Alastair Campbell is back on the bottle and thought it was a good idea late one night. He did big up the whole cringe-making event.
- Wee Dougie Alexander produced some focus group data that showed Elvis was still king in some key demographics, old people, people without iPods, C1, D1 hardworking families. Wee Dougie has now defected to the Miliband camp…
- Michael Jackson was unavailable. He is after all a well known kids entertainer…
Put your theory in the comments please, best theory wins a copy of The Big Red Book of New Labour Sleaze, competition closes midnight.
Former “glamour model” John Cowan has become the second Labour Party parliamentary candidate to be sacked after their online postings were revealed. John Cowan, who was expelled from the Liberal Democrats after sending sexually explicit messages to Labour’s Kerry McCarthy, then tried to join the Tories and eventually ended up as the Labour PPC for South East Cambridgeshire.
Cowan’s racist and sexual rantings have been doing the blog rounds for a week or so and finally ended up in yesterday’s Telegraph. As nominations have closed there can’t now be a Labour candidate in the race. It will be interesting to see what boost this gives to the Liberal Democrat vote in this safe Tory seat.
Grassroots Conservative activists in Buckingham are mostly either staying at home, voting for Farage or in some cases campaigning for him. Sir Nicholas Bonsor, a Deputy Lieutenant of Buckinghamshire and a former Conservative MP, will be one of those canvassing for UKIP’s Nigel Farage. UKIP say it is the first crack to open publicly in the Buckingham Constituency Association.
Disenfranchised Tories in the constituency are quietly putting their weight behind UKIP – Sir Nicholas is a patron of the Buckingham Conservative Association and a former foreign office minister. Bercow’s disloyalty and the behaviour of his wife infuriates local party members. Bonsor is a big Chihuahua…
As the Tories shift resources towards Labour seats and the Labour Party vote leaves the building with Elvis, the tantalising prospect of a Labour Party wipe out seems possible. Labour’s messages seem calibrated only to appeal only to their core activist vote and their client vote dependent on welfare transfers. Middle-England is not being wooed at all. Consequently Labour is now polling at levels last seen under Michael Foot. Has anyone else noticed that Tony Blair is supposedly unable to campaign because he is still stuck overseas due to volcanic ash. Nothing to do with not wanting to be tainted with a loser?
Nick Clegg wrote in The Liberal Moment last year…
“Liberal Democrats have opposed Labour’s centralised model because it jars with our core beliefs… I believe Labour’s basic approach to governance – to social, political, economic and environmental progress is fundamentally […]