Populus Shows Most People Not Interested in Politics

Some odd findings come out of the Populus pre-conference polling of voter perceptions. Guido is working on the assumption that the poll methodology is good – poll pundits like Mike Smithson or Anthony Wells might beg to differ. Some of the findings were:
  • Voters think Brown is more left-wing than he was this time last year.
  • Voters think Cameron is slightly more right-wing than he was this time last year.
  • Nick Clegg is seen as to the left of Ming.
  • Clegg and Brown are seen as slightly more left-wing than their parties.
Most people inside politics and informed enough to read political blogs would disagree with those findings and believe that Brown is to the right of his party and Clegg is more right-of-centre liberal than Ming. So how do you explain the perception disparity?

We live in a tele-democracy, most people are not interested in political detail. Which is why when Dave went off to hug a husky, polls showed that the Tories were seen as more green than the LibDems. McCain is sweeping up woman voters because he has a woman on the ticket, never mind her policy stance. What the likes of Karl Rove, James Carville, Rupert Murdoch, Peter Mandelson and Steve Hilton understand is that perception and image matter more than policy substance in a tele-democracy. People who are not interested in politics have votes. George Dubya Bush was on to something when he said “you can fool some of the people all of the time, and they’re the ones to focus on”…

Classic Biden Gaffe

Biden is Obama’s VP candidate. Here on the campaign trail he hails Chuck Graham, Missouri Senator and paraplegic.

Via the Fink

Gordon’s New Mobile Target

Tim Kiddell is the man with the most difficult job in Whitehall. He is according to the FT the newly appointed speechwriter for the PM. Presumably as a civil servant he will write the non-party speeches.

Gordon was asked by the press this morning for an idea as to what he’ll be saying in his speech to the Labour Party conference. He desperately needs some new lines because yet again Brown said he would be telling them he would be “getting on with the job”. Not if he carries on as vacuously as he is…

Has Gordon Set Out His Vision this Year?

It is nearly a year since Gordon dithered and then bottled calling an election. The greatest strategic error of his political life. He said at the time and repeated this morning at his press conference that it wasn’t a few polls in the marginals that scared him off, it was so that he would have time to set out his vision to the people.
Well he has had a year to do just that. Given he now says they are going to “rethink policy” does that mean it will take another year to set out his vision? Does anyone now better understand his vision?

Third of LIbDems Dissatisfied With Clegg

A third (33.4%) of LibDem grassroots activists privately polled by the party are dissatisfied with Nick Cleggs leadership rating it “ineffective” or “very ineffective”.  Of those that expressed an opinion a similar number (31.7%) thought that the LibDems were on the wrong track.   
The ever ambitious Chris Huhne will take comfort from the fact that not one of the 46.9% who said they voted for him to be leader said they had any regret about doing so.  He has been suspiciously quiet lately…

Maguire and McBride Plotting Over Pints

Tucked away in a dark corner of the Westminster Arms yesterday evening Guido spied the Mirror’s political editor and the PM’s infamous spin doctor self-medicating. McSnide looked very rough. The Ollie Reed of blogging is no position to criticise, but Damian really looks like he has been hitting it hard. Bloated. Suppose it must be tough in the bunker. In Berlin in 1945 they were dosing themselves up to the eyeballs on amphetamines to escape from the inevitable reality. Damian should think about switching his medications, amphetamines are slimming.

Coincidentally there has been another round of rumours in Labour circles that, as they retreat further from the reality-based community, Maguire is going to be called in to wage the coming Class War from Downing Street itself. Guido thinks it is wishful thinking, Maguire maybe many things, but he is not that stupid. He knows a loser when he sees one.

His script has however been noticeably more loyal to Brown lately:

“Gordon Brown is aiming for the Right target”
“Chancellor Alistair Darling should shut up”
“Gordon Brown must strike back at the doom-mongers”
“Panicking Labour MPs need to chill out”

Who knows…?

Downing Street is Running Out of Rats

Another rat is leaving the sinking Downing Street ship.  Paul Sinclair, formerly Wee Dougie Alexander’s SpAd before becoming the Prime Mentalist’s Scottish spin doctor, is jumping ship ahead of the Glenrothes by-election.  He is off to spin at Hill & Knowlton according to Paul Waugh.  Sinclair was considered a potential candidate in Glenrothes…

Picture Speaks a Thousand Words

This picture was taken at St. Paul’s just before lunch today after the service to commemorate the efforts of British armed forces who served in Northern Ireland, remembering those who gave their lives.

Be careful what you wish for…

Tories Give Bloggers Parity with Big Media

The Tory press office is, quite rightly, treating bloggers at their conference the same as the rest of the media (including charging us £150 for an internet connection and £95 for a power socket). Guido however will be unplugged and

[…]

+ READ MORE +

Gordon Openly Backs Obama President McCain Here We Come

In a breach of internationally accepted convention, Gordon has openly backed Obama in an article under his byline. The story got picked up last night by Drudge and followed up by the news wires.

The McCain campaign has been in […]

+ READ MORE +

Brand Cameron

Guido believes in the power of advertising and so clearly do the Camerons. Dave had as his primary mission on becoming leader the “decontamination of the Tory brand”. Which he has successfully achieved judging by the polls. Samantha has

[…]

+ READ MORE +

Treasury’s Crash

This picture, taken outside HM Treasury, sent in minutes ago by co-conspirator Maria Fort*. A metaphor for the direction HM Treasury is taking us in…

*A co-conspirators T-shirt is in the post Maria.

[…]

+ READ MORE +



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Liz Kendall is asked by Tom Newton Dunn if she would ever ban the Sun from one of her press conferences:

“If you stripped naked and ran in front of me, Tom, I might have second thoughts about it, but apart from that, no.”

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