Saturday, January 17, 2009

+++ Tories Take 13 Point Lead +++

Unlucky for Gordon:

Con : 45
Lab : 32
Lib : 14

YouGov Sunday Times whisper number from reliable source.

UPDATE 19.19 : Press Association has just caught up.

The Labour favouring ComRes pollsters also reflect the shift in the Indy:

Conservatives – 41% (+2)
Labour – 32% (-2)
Lib Dems – 15% (-1)

Friday, January 16, 2009

Barclays Shares Down 25%

Most of the losses occurred in the last hour of trading. The City is awash with rumours as to why. With the Treasury looking at a second round of bank bail-outs it looks like the taxpayer is going to need a lot of lube for another big shafting. Admittedly it could just be an old-fashioned bear ambush now shorting financial stocks is permitted again…

*Guido covered his gilt short anyway, when fear grips the markets government bonds tend to rally. Will short gilts again later…

Friday Caption Competition

If They Have Nothing to Hide, They Have Nothing to Fear

Whatever your views as to the rights and wrongs of another runway at Heathrow, Guido can see no reason why it should not be discussed in parliament. John McDonnell’s constituency will be blighted by the project, schools will be closed, green acres will be lost, homes will be demolished.

These pictures of McDonnell picking up the mace were not originally* broadcast and have come out from the raw video feed – much to the annoyance of the parliamentary authorities. Why the parliamentary authorities think it is up to them to censor what the people see going on in their parliament is beyond Guido. They work for you, the workings of parliament are not for them to reveal when they choose, it is the right of the people in a democracy to see into the democratic forum. An open democracy does not hide its workings from the voters.

Elsewhere the parliamentary authorities are suppressing full disclosure of MPs expenses. Jacqui Smith has (without reference to parliament) given herself the right to read Guido’s email without a warrant, yet MPs in contrast are changing the Freedom of Information laws to allow them to obscure our view of their petty fiddles. There is no other credible explanation. They claim that it would be too expensive to account for all expenditure – try putting that on your tax return. Some MPs are taking it upon themselves to voluntarily publish ALL their expenses, some will not, draw your own conclusions. If they have done nothing wrong, they have nothing to hide…

*Guido stands corrected. It appears that the BBC has (online at least) put the video up. There was a row yersterday because under the terms of the contract drawn up by MPs the BBC is not supposed to broadcast this type of disruption.

Thursday, January 15, 2009

Totty Watch : "I’m Babz, Fly Me"

A press release arrives from Conservatives for International Travel:

TORY GRASSROOTS GROUP APPLAUDS HEATHROW DECISION

Conservatives for International Travel, the grassroots group that supports keeping the cost of flights as low as possible, today applauded the decision by the Prime Minister to go ahead with a third runway at Heathrow...

It is a great victory for the campaign and all credit to Babz Normille, the campaign director.

She can give up the modelling career and focus on lobbying media luminaries…

Lebedev Won’t Be the First KGB Agent to Own a British Newspaper

Guido is not referring to the Soviet-backed Communist paper the Morning Star, but to the former Daily Mirror owner, Labour MP, socialist plutocrat, pension Labour Party donor, thief and long term Soviet asset: Robert Maxwell.

That incidentally is not a crazy internet conspiracy theory, it was the judgement of the intelligence services and the Foreign Office’s counter-subversion department according to documents released to the National Archive in 2003. Maxwell was the recipient of many honours from Soviet Bloc regimes for his work for “peace” and business dealings in Eastern Europe. Alistair Campbell loved him.

Same Old Draper, Spinning Lines

In the beginning of New Labour there was spin and young Derek Draper was a child of that, in fact he spun so much that he toppled himself in a sleaze defining moment for New Labour. When you speak to Draper nowadays he is, more than most ever so sensitive politicians, keen to set the terms of the discussion, what is on the record, what is off the record, whether he is going to be quoted or whether it is for background.

So it is in this context that Guido reports that when he was tipped that the new site was going to be called “LabourList” and there had been discussions about a “DailyDraper” blog he called Draper who denied the truth of those names. Point blank denial. Which turned out to be totally untrue.

After LabourList launched Derek posted this comment on this blog

you did get the name right guido, so well done!but what became of the daily draper you rwote so confidently about? mole got his whisker’s twisted?

You know, Derek is a compulsive spinner in the, errm, Jeffrey Archer mould. You would think from that comment Guido had got it wrong, alas a co-conspirator draws attention to this website registered last month:
Domain name:
dailydraper.com

Registrant :
Derek Draper
One Lower John St.
London
W1F 9DT

There is only one twisted spinner in this tale Derek…

Both Gordon and Vadera Quoted Lamont Yesterday

Guido never really bought into the decrying of Norman Lamont. He said a few things that were ill-judged but his judgement wasn’t that bad. He was put into the ERM debacle by Major and was happy to escape it, even if it was a messy exit.

So it was good to see his double rehabilitation yesterday, not just with Shriti welcoming “green shoots” but the Prime Mentalist himself quoting the former Chancellor’s views. Cameron was attacking the VAT reduction, Brown defended it bya citing Lord Lamont support for it. Prudent Gordon who spent a decades denouncing Lamont as an uncaring, incompetent, economic buffoon responsible for the destruction of the British economy, is now cited by Brown as evidence of the rectitude of Labour economic strategy.

In the same vein yesterday Phil Woolas chided Norman Tebbit on the Daily Politics for his wooly liberalism on immigration issues. Who is nasty now?

Wednesday, January 14, 2009

Patrick McGoohan, "the Prisoner", R.I.P.

Most Libertarians, of whatever flavour, identify with the rebellious individualism of McGoohan’s most famous character. Secretly, we want to fight the heroic fight. Most of us just settle for not paying the TV licence.

Gordon’s Big Porkie

At PMQs Gordon told Dave that around the world “no one except him is proposing we cut public spending at this time”. Not true Gordon, the Irish Times reported yesterday that the Taoiseach, Brian Cowen, has told senior trade union officials that the state’s borrowing figures are unsustainable, billions will be cut from exchequer spending this year. Guido will bet a lot of Guinness that as a result Ireland will be out of the recession before Britain.

Merrill Lynch has just issued a warning that “In our view, the UK faces a unique set of challenges making the sovereign and the banks especially vulnerable… We believe the issue for the UK is that asset quality deterioration across all lending types is pretty much certain.” Credit markets are roughly assigning a 10% probability that the UK will default on government debt within the next five years. If government spending is not controlled, Gordon really could bankrupt us…

UPDATE 15 January : Simon Carr’s sketch this morning makes a good point:

Cameron was wading into the VAT reduction (at a national cost of £12bn it’s giving two packets of crisps to the average family a day). Brown defended it and cited Conservative support for the policy. Chief supporter: Lord Lamont. Gordon has spent 10 years denouncing Lamont as an incompetent, malevolent, economic illiterate who was responsible for the destruction of British economy. And Cameron isn’t suitable to be in public life because he was once standing beside him in a photograph. He really is shameless, our PM.


Seen Elsewhere

India’s Modi Bypasses Mainstream Media | Index
Bercow on the Knife Edge | Quentin Letts
Welcome to Mississippi | Conservative Women
LibDems Select Hancock Replacement | Blue Guerilla
Carswell Resigning: “Moment Labour Won Election” | Labour Uncut
Why We Need Change | Douglas Carswell
The Howard Roark of Westminster | Guardian
Carswell, the Clacton Cassandra | James Ford
Love Bomb Carswell | ConservativeHome
Denis MacShane’s Ex is Now Hacked Off Spokesman | Speccie
How the Carswell Story Unfolded | Sky News


VOTER-RECALL
Get the book Find out more about PLMR


Douglas Carswell’s side-kick Dan Hannan MEP pours water on the obvious question:

“I won’t be joining UKIP, though I wish Douglas Carswell all the best. He has been a superb MP, and it’s honourable to stand for re-election.”



Owen Jones says:

We also need Zil lanes.


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