Thursday, October 16, 2014

Ashcroft Poll Shows UKIP Turning Tory-Held Marginals Labour

Sobering polling for the Tories from Lord Ashcroft today, who has a snapshot of voting intentions in ten Tory-held marginals with Labour currently in second place (plus Corby, which went Labour mid-term). Nine of the eleven are Labour gains. Ashcroft concludes “swings to Labour appear to be related to the UKIP presence”, finding:

“UKIP could hamper Labour in Tory-held target seats by diverting voters who might otherwise switch straight from blue to red – though the evidence so far is that this effect is not yet strong enough in these seats to counteract the erosion of the Tory vote.”

28% of UKIP voters polled say they’d prefer a Labour government, 35% want a Tory win…

Owen Jones Admits His Book is Factually Incorrect
Owen Spinning 100% Wrong Establishment Statistic

Owen Jones in “The Establishment” quotes one powerful statistic to exemplify the incestuous nature of Britain’s elite, so good that since the book’s release it has gone viral. Jones claims a 2012 study shows 92% of the top 50 publicly traded firms in the UK have a British parliamentarian as a director or shareholder. It is a ‘fact’ he repeated in an article for Channel 4 News, and during his speech to the LSE this week:

It also turns out to be a big fat blooper. Jones sources the stat to a Democratic Audit report (page 290), but as internet sleuth Jeremy Duns points out, there are two glaring problems with this:

First, Jones’ source references the stat to a 2006 study, so the figure is from considerably earlier than Jones writes in his book. More importantly, Jones’ source actually says46 per cent of the top 50 publicly traded firms had a British MP as a director or shareholder”. Not 92% but 46%, half of what Jones claims. OJ now says it was a typo:

Except it hasn’t been corrected, the 92% figure is still there if you download the e-book this morning. And if Jones is telling the truth when he says he knows it is wrong and has been corrected, why did he repeat the incorrect stat to the LSE just three days ago? Jones is now blaming his publisher for the error, but his publisher didn’t give the LSE speech. Could it be that it just doesn’t suit his overinflated conspiratorial narrative?

Meanwhile Over in High Court 24

plebgate-mitchell-sun

COURT 24

Before MR JUSTICE MITTING

Thursday, 16th October 2014

At half past 10 Jury List

APPLICATION NOTICE

TLJ/14/0554 Mitchell v News Group Newspapers Ltd

TLJ/14/0554 Rowland v Mitchell

Another round in the £1 million Plebgate legal skirmishes which are making the lawyers rich.

The latter application is a damages claim by Police Federation backed police officer Toby Rowland against former chief whip Andrew Mitchell…

Mencap Called for Disabled to Be Exempt From Minimum Wage

This Guardian article from February 2000 reports calls for an “urgent revision” of the rules to enable “low output” disabled workers to be exempt from minimum wage legislation. The proposal said some disabled workers should be classified as “special provision” and as a result be exempt from statutory provision, thus allowing employers to pay them less than the minimum wage. This was not an off-the-cuff remark from a Tory peer, but a detailed proposal from Mencap, Britain’s leading charity for disabled people. 

Mencap said at the time that while they otherwise support the minimum wage, an exemption should be allowed because “Most people with a learning disability want to work and we urge the government to give them that chance.” Which is almost exactly the point Lord Freud was making. On the News at Ten last night the only mention that the entire Freud row was contrived at best came in the last line, so regardless of the rights and wrongs it’s a Labour win…

UPDATE: Sentiment below speaks for itself.

Wednesday, October 15, 2014

Labour Backed £4-a-Day Pay for Mentally Disabled

DIS

In 2003 the Labour government supported allowing some companies to pay people with mental health problems £4-a-day to man assembly lines. A government paper from when Patricia Hewitt was Secretary of State for Trade and Industry, which argues that that some so-called “therapeutic work” should not qualify for the minimum wage. It proposed an organisation which “runs a facility for mental health out patients, who do various activities such as packing and assembly can “pay varying amounts up to £20 per week, so long as “if [workers] do not attend there are no sanctions”. The government paper concludes that under such an arrangement “there would probably not be an employer/worker relationship” and therefore “the national minimum wage would not apply. Ironically the likes of Scope, Mencap and the TUC were consulted during the preparation of the document. Ed Miliband today called for the resignation of a government minister for suggesting something not nearly as draconian…

Who Wrote O-Patz’s Big Speech Tonight?

Guido is off to see Owen Paterson deliver his speech at the Global Warming Policy Foundation tonight. But is it really his speech?

Viscount Ridley’s sister is O-Patz’s other half…

Via Edward King.

PMQs SKETCH: Maybe Miliband Has a Chance

The Nolan principles of sketch writing – fairness, objectivity, kindness and so forth, I forget them exactly. Does he offer refresher courses?

Miliband today was, I thought, as bad as he’d ever been.

The face a mash-up of several untamed animals. The angry eight-year-old delivery. The whole package that of a bedroom boy locked away with his best friend, making economic models out of Lego. Not even worth breaking up for parts. And the drivel!

“Too harsh. He was quite good today,” one of his Labour enemies said.  “The big story is whether Freud will survive the day.”

What! No! Really? As a result of Miliband’s questions? But that must mean he did quite well!

Seriously?

(more…)

Scrapbook Losing Friends Fast Over Cam Kid Hate

Britain’s leading left-wing blog has come under fire for the second time in two weeks for attacking David Cameron over his disabled son Ivan, who passed away in 2009. Earlier this month union-funded Political Scrapbook was universally panned for this story criticising the PM for an emotional section of his conference speech. The response was unanimous:

Today they’re at it again, claiming: “In a corner, Cameron can’t help invoking the memory of his disabled son”. The less than tasteful line of attack is seeing Scrapbook lose friends on the liberal left fast:

You stay classy…

Boris’ Tackle Caught on Camera

Not that sort of tackle…

Miliband Slammed for “Shameful”, “Disgraceful” Attack on Freud …But Welfare Minister Offers Grovelling Apology

Interesting that Labour’s Anne Begg admitted on Sky News that she had not been told the context of Lord Freud’s comments by party spinners, heavily caveating her criticism accordingly. The Adam Smith Institute have come out in support of Freud, condemning Labour for misrepresenting what he said:

“Lord Freud has been shamefully mistreated by Ed Miliband. His point was that the market value of some people’s wages is below the minimum wage. This is often true of the severely disabled and can have appalling consequences for their self-esteem and quality of life. Fixing this problem was the justification for Remploy, a government-funded firm that gave jobs to disabled people who could not find work elsewhere.

To point out that someone’s market value is less than minimum wage has nothing to do with their moral value as human beings. Freud’s point was that we should help people in this situation by allowing them to find jobs paying below the minimum wage and topping up their pay directly to make up the difference.

Even if you don’t agree with this method, it is motivated by compassion for the disabled and an understanding of the unpleasant side-effects of our minimum wage laws. Freud’s only crime was to speak bluntly: it is disgraceful to use his words against him in the way Miliband has.”

Not like a spinner to take something out of context…

UPDATE: Freud mea culpa:

“I would like to offer a full and unreserved apology. I was foolish to accept the premise of the question. To be clear, all disabled people should be paid at least the minimum wage, without exception, and I accept that it is offensive to suggest anything else.

I care passionately about disabled people…. I am profoundly sorry for any offence I have caused to any disabled people.”


Seen Elsewhere

Apple’s Tim Cook: iGay | Techno Guido
Insurgent Parties Plunge Labour Into Crisis | Alex Wickham
Mind-Bending Politics of Drugs | Mark Wallace
PC Worries Prevent Police Protecting Young Girls | Jill Kirby
Miliband Should Win Rochester | Martin Kettle
Thatcher Minister Sir John Nott ‘Voted for UKIP’ | Times
Time to Listen to Drugs Experts | Guardian
Drug Laws Don’t Work | Times
Our Moral Duty to Cut Taxes | David Cameron
Greens Ahead of LibDems | Guardian
Channel 4 to Spoof UKIP Election Win | Guardian


VOTER-RECALL
Find out more about PLMR


David Cameron drug policy reformer and leadership contender in 2005…

“Politicians attempt to appeal to the lowest common denominator by posturing with tough policies and calling for crackdown after crackdown. Drugs policy has been failing for decades.”



“Digger” Murdoch says:

Is it just me, or is Nigel Farage just a top hat and a monocle away from being a Batman villain?


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