Don’t Trigger Article 50 Until the Deal is Clear

FARAGE+JUNCKER

Nigel Farage is getting very worried about back sliding by government Leavers, it is fair to say the ‘Kippers having achieved their raison d’être are now looking for reasons to be angry and suspicious. They have plenty to be suspicious about. Pulling the Article 50 trigger quickly should not be one of them….

The idea that Article 50 should be triggered immediately was always nonsense. There is no legal imperative to trigger it immediately and it would be politically unwise to do so until there is an established negotiating position. UK negotiators should seek to sound out EU governments – after they have calmed down – before triggering Article 50. Juncker and some states or even the EU as a whole might not countenance an informal negotiation. There is of course no obligation for the rest of the EU to begin negotiations on leaving until Article 50 has been triggered. The ticking clock is designed to give the EU an upper hand in the negotiations, the UK would be wise to only pull the trigger when the target is clear.

This is a poker game where the UK holds strong cards, Juncker can rant as much as he likes, he has few trump cards to play. Obviously it will be better for all to negotiate a rational, mutually beneficial Brexit deal.

If this is not enough to allay Nigel’s concerns, consider this, Juncker will be furiously impotent that he can’t kick the UK out of the EU, Michael Gove* could become Aberdeen’s version of Thatcher, saying “non, nein, no” to every EU initiative until the EU gives the UK what it wants. The UK can bring the EU to a halt, vetoing everything. No rush. 

* or David Davis.




Tip offs: 0709 284 0531
team@Order-order.com

Quote of the Day

Heidi Alexander sums up Labour’s approach to aspiration:

“Babies grow up to become taxpayers.”

Guidogram: Sign up

Subscribe to the most succinct 7 days a week daily email read by thousands of Westminster insiders.

Facebook

Tories Braced for Charges Over South Thanet Tories Braced for Charges Over South Thanet
Max Fine for Law Breaking Lib Dems Max Fine for Law Breaking Lib Dems
TROT SUPER-FACTION ORGANISING MOMENTUM TAKEOVER TROT SUPER-FACTION ORGANISING MOMENTUM TAKEOVER
Santa Paws: Phil Hammond’s Christmas Card Santa Paws: Phil Hammond’s Christmas Card
Government Values Guardian Readers Most Highly Government Values Guardian Readers Most Highly
Treasury Implements Amy Lame Tax Treasury Implements Amy Lame Tax
Fidel’s Final Push Fidel’s Final Push
Newmark Back Helping Women2Win Newmark Back Helping Women2Win
BoJo Ho Ho! Christmas Returns to FCO BoJo Ho Ho! Christmas Returns to FCO
Naz Shah Attends Extremist-Linked Event Naz Shah Attends Extremist-Linked Event
HEIDI ALLEN IN MAYORAL ROW HEIDI ALLEN IN MAYORAL ROW
Renzi Loses Referendum – Resigns Renzi Loses Referendum – Resigns
WATCH: Clegg Gets Brillo’d WATCH: Clegg Gets Brillo’d
Brexit Book War – Latest Brexit Book War – Latest
Public Heath England Gets Booze Sums Wrong Public Heath England Gets Booze Sums Wrong
Civil Servants Forced to Admit We’re Leaving EU Civil Servants Forced to Admit We’re Leaving EU
Sarah Olney Walks Out of Interview Sarah Olney Walks Out of Interview
DfID Slams Baroness Scotland DfID Slams Baroness Scotland
Ken Aide Says Staff Celebrated 9/11 Ken Aide Says Staff Celebrated 9/11